Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

Christian Yelich is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Milwaukee Brewers (58-48) as they get set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (42-63) on Saturday. The Brewers enter the matchup as -183 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from American Family Field at 7:15 PM ET. Aaron Ashby will get the ball for Milwaukee while Cincinnati counter with Nick Lodolo.

Brewers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Reds

After taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +154. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+154) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Reds Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Game Day: Saturday, August 6, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

• Ashby makes the start for the Brewers, his 15th of the season. He is 2-9 with a 4.13 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 80 2/3 innings pitched.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, when he went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering no earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 24-year-old has a 4.13 ERA and 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings across 20 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .256 to opposing hitters.
• Ashby has two quality starts under his belt this year.
• Ashby will look to pick up his seventh outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.0 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Reds offense has the 25th-ranked slugging percentage (.377) and ranks 20th in MLB play with 98 home runs. It has a collective .239 batting average, and is 24th in MLB with 830 total hits and 18th in MLB play scoring 450 runs.
• In 2 1/3 innings over one appearance against the Reds this season, Ashby has a 0.00 ERA and a 0.857 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .222.

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• The Reds’ Lodolo (3-3) will make his ninth start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.23 and 12.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .284 in eight games this season.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Lodolo has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Brewers rank sixth in MLB with 493 runs scored this season. They have a .241 batting average this campaign with 147 home runs (fourth in the league).

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have been favored 84 times and won 47, or 56%, of those games.
• Milwaukee has a record of 17-12 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -183 on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have a 64.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 106 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 45-61-0 ATS in their 106 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have come away with 32 wins in the 82 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win nine times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +154 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 39.4% chance of pulling out a win.
• Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 54 of their 107 opportunities.
• The Reds have an against the spread record of 51-56-0 in 107 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers in home runs (22) and runs batted in (70).
• Of all hitters in baseball, Tellez’s home run total ranks him 17th, and his RBI tally puts him ninth.
• Tellez has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a double, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• Yelich’s .261 batting average leads his team.
• Including all major league hitters, Yelich is 154th in homers and 152nd in RBI.
• Willy Adames is hitting .221 with 17 doubles, 21 home runs and 31 walks.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .251 with 19 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Reds are lead in runs batted in by Kyle Farmer with a mark of 51, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .251.
• In all of MLB, Farmer is 200th in homers and 55th in RBI.
• Joey Votto’s 10 home runs lead his team.
• Votto ranks 113th overall in home runs and 125th in RBI this season.
• Nick Senzel is batting .252 with nine doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.
• Jonathan India is hitting .248 with 10 doubles, seven home runs and 10 walks.