Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/7/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (43-63) will lean on Jose Garcia, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (58-49) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The Reds are +223 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers. Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft.

Brewers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Reds

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +223. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+223) and Over (7.5)

Brewers vs. Reds Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
• Game Day: Sunday, August 7, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes (8-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 166 strikeouts in 130 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his 22nd of the season.
• The righty’s last time out was on Tuesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing three hits.
• The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.49, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are batting .186 against him.
• Burnes has collected 15 quality starts this season.
• Burnes is aiming for his 10th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He will face a Reds offense that is batting .239 as a unit (19th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .380 (22nd in MLB) with 102 total home runs (20th in MLB).
• The 27-year-old’s 2.49 ERA ranks eighth, .946 WHIP ranks sixth, and 11.5 K/9 ranks third among qualifying pitchers this season.

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

• Ashcraft (5-2) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his 14th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up no earned runs and allowed five hits in 8 1/3 innings pitched against the Miami Marlins on Tuesday.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 4.12 ERA this season with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 13 games.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Ashcraft has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Brewers are batting .241 this season, 17th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .420 (seventh in the league) with 149 home runs.
• The right-hander has allowed the Brewers to go 8-for-23 with two doubles, a home run and six RBI in five innings this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have won 47, or 55.3%, of the 85 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Milwaukee has a record of 3-3 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -273 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 73.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 56 of 107 chances this season.
• The Brewers have an ATS record of 45-62-0 in 107 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have come away with 33 wins in the 83 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Cincinnati has won one of seven games when listed as at least +223 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 31% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 55 of 108 chances this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 52-56-0 in 108 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez is the Brewers best power option, connecting on 22 round-trippers this season in addition to delivering 70 RBI, both team highs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Tellez ranks 103rd in batting average, 85th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
• Tellez has collected a hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .438 with a double, two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Christian Yelich is hitting .266 to pace his team.
• Yelich ranks 157th in homers and 154th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Yelich carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a double and four walks.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .253 with 19 doubles, 11 home runs and 37 walks.
• Willy Adames has 17 doubles, 21 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .221.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer has recorded a team-best batting average of .248 and leads the Reds in runs batted in with a mark of 51.
• Among all batters in MLB, Farmer’s home run total ranks 200th and his RBI tally is 57th.
• Joey Votto has collected a team-best 11 home runs.
• Votto is 100th in home runs and 122nd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Nick Senzel is batting .247 with nine doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.
• Albert Almora Jr. is hitting .239 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and seven walks.