Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/11/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (74-66) are -286 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Cincinnati Reds (56-81) Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Reds are listed with +234 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory. Brandon Woodruff takes the mound for Milwaukee while Justin Dunn is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Brewers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +234 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+234) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Reds Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Justin Dunn
• Game Day: Sunday, September 11, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Brandon Woodruff

• Woodruff tries for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Brewers, his 23rd of the season. He is 9-4 with a 3.41 ERA and 141 strikeouts in 121 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last appearance came on Wednesday against the Colorado Rockies, when he went seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 3.41 ERA and 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings in 22 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .222 to his opponents.
• Woodruff has 10 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Woodruff is seeking his 14th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• He will face a Reds offense that ranks 18th in the league with 588 runs while batting .241 as a squad. It has a collective .384 slugging percentage (20th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 138 home runs (18th in MLB).
• Woodruff has pitched 10 innings, giving up eight earned runs on 12 hits while striking out 18 against the Reds this season.

Reds Starter Justin Dunn

• Dunn (1-2) will take the mound for the Reds, his seventh start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up three earned runs while allowing four hits.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 4.82 and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .257.
• He has earned a quality start one time in six starts this season.
• Dunn has made two starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Brewers are batting .234 this season, 22nd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .409 (ninth in the league) with 193 home runs.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have won 62 out of the 110 games, or 56.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Milwaukee has a record of 3-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -286 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 74.1% chance to win.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of their 140 opportunities.
• The Brewers are 58-82-0 ATS in their 140 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have won in 44, or 41.1%, of the 107 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Cincinnati has been victorious two times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +234 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 29.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 69 of their 139 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Reds have posted a record of 66-73-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers with 28 homers on the year. He’s also hitting .224 with 76 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Tellez’s home run total ranks him 13th, and his RBI tally puts him 30th.
• Christian Yelich has a club-high .260 batting average.
• Including all major league batters, Yelich is 129th in home runs and 123rd in RBI.
• Willy Adames has racked up a team-best 81 runs batted in.
• Adames will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .244 with 21 doubles, 16 home runs and 44 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer has recorded a team-best batting average of .264 and paces the Reds in runs batted in with a mark of 64.
• Farmer is 164th in homers and 56th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jonathan India is batting .266 with 14 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 22 walks.
• India is currently 164th in home runs and 208th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Nick Senzel has 12 doubles, four home runs and 27 walks while hitting .236.
• Jake Fraley is hitting .252 with seven doubles, 10 home runs and 20 walks.