Brewers vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/9/2022

Hunter Renfroe is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Milwaukee Brewers (73-65) as they get set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (55-80) on Friday. The Brewers enter the matchup as -145 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from American Family Field at 8:10 PM ET. Jason Alexander will get the ball for Milwaukee while Cincinnati counter with Nick Lodolo.

Brewers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +123 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+123) and Over (8.5)

Brewers vs. Reds Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Jason Alexander
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Game Day: Friday, September 9, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Jason Alexander

• Alexander (2-2 with a 5.03 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 62 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his 10th of the season.
• In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.03, with 5.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .300 against him.
• Alexander is looking to collect his second quality start of the season in this matchup.
• Alexander heads into the game with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
• The opposing Reds offense has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.382) and is 18th in MLB play with 135 home runs. It has a collective .241 batting average, and is 20th in MLB with 1087 total hits and 18th in MLB play scoring 579 runs.
• In 5 2/3 innings over one appearance against the Reds this season, Alexander has a 3.18 ERA and a 1.588 WHIP while his opponents are batting .333.

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• Lodolo (3-5) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his 15th start of the season.
• The left-hander allowed two hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Sunday.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.95 and 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .252 in 14 games this season.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
• Lodolo has four starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Brewers have scored 622 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They are batting .234 for the campaign with 190 home runs, third in the league.
• The Brewers have gone 4-for-17 with two home runs and three RBI in 4 2/3 innings this season against the left-hander.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have entered the game as favorites 108 times this season and won 61, or 56.5%, of those games.
• Milwaukee is 42-27 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of their 138 opportunities.
• In 138 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 57-81-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been underdogs in 105 games this season and have come away with the win 43 times (41%) in those contests.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 30-48 when favored by +123 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 68 of their 137 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 65-72-0 in 137 games with a line this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has gone yard 28 times this season, the highest mark on the Brewers, while hitting .226 with 76 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Tellez is 125th in batting average, 98th in on-base percentage, and 35th in slugging.
• Christian Yelich has a club-leading .259 batting average.
• Yelich is 123rd in home runs and 123rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Willy Adames has accumulated a team-best 79 runs batted in.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .246 with 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 44 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer has recorded a team-best batting average of .262 while pacing the Reds in runs batted in with a mark of 63.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Farmer ranks 162nd in homers and 56th in RBI.
• Farmer has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a triple, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Jonathan India has 14 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 21 walks while batting .266.
• Among all major league hitters, India is 174th in home runs and 220th in RBI.
• Nick Senzel is hitting .240 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 27 walks.
• Jake Fraley has seven doubles, nine home runs and 20 walks while hitting .250.