Brewers vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/27/2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (54-44) hope to complete a two-game sweep of the Minnesota Twins (52-45) when the teams meet at 2:10 PM ET Wednesday. The Brewers are -197 favorites to keep the Twins out of the win column in the series. Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while Minnesota counter with Chris Archer.

Brewers vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Brewers vs. Twins

After looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +165. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+165) and Over (8)

Brewers vs. Twins Game Info

• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Chris Archer
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 27, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Stadium: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

• Burnes gets the start for the Brewers, his 20th of the season. He is 7-4 with a 2.20 ERA and 149 strikeouts in 118 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last time out came on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, when the righty went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
• In 19 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.20, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .186 against him.
• Burnes has 14 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Burnes will try to continue an eight-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
• He will face a Twins offense that ranks eighth in MLB with 828 total hits (on a .253 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .419 (sixth in MLB) with 120 total home runs (ninth in MLB).
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old ranks fifth in ERA (2.20), sixth in WHIP (.927), and fifth in K/9 (11.3).

Twins Starter Chris Archer

• The Twins will hand the ball to Archer (2-4) for his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, July 17, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.41 and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .212 in 16 games this season.
• In 16 starts this season, Archer has not yet earned a quality start.
• In 16 starts this season, Archer has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 4.0 innings per appearance.
• The Brewers rank seventh in MLB with 449 runs scored this season. They have a .237 batting average this campaign with 133 home runs (fourth in the league).

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Brewers have won 43 out of the 76 games, or 56.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Milwaukee has a record of 13-8, a 61.9% win rate, when favored by -197 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 66.3% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
• So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 98 games with a total.
• The Brewers are 41-57-0 ATS in their 98 games with a spread this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 37 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (40.5%) in those games.
• This year, Minnesota has won three of four games when listed as at least +165 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 37.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 46 of their 98 opportunities.
• The Twins have posted a record of 47-51-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez is the Brewers RBI leader this season, driving in 58 runs to go with his 18 home runs and .226 batting average.
• Including all MLB hitters, Tellez ranks 126th in batting average, 116th in on-base percentage, and 56th in slugging.
• Christian Yelich has 15 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 50 walks while batting .253.
• Yelich is 141st in homers and 148th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Yelich carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last nine outings he is batting .303 with three doubles, a triple, six walks and two RBI.
• Willy Adames paces the Brewers with 20 home runs.
• Andrew McCutchen is hitting .257 to lead his team.
• McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a .339 batting average.
• Arraez is 213th in homers and 148th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jorge Polanco has driven in the most runs for the Twins with 49 runs batted in.
• Polanco is 47th in homers and 44th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Max Kepler has 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 41 walks while hitting .244.
• Byron Buxton has launched a team-high 24 home runs.