Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots NFL Playoffs Betting Tips and Best Bets
by Richard Jacobs | Jan 11, 2022
The bookmakers think this year’s AFC Wild Card Round game between the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots will be a relatively close one, with the Bills favored by 4.5 points. Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York will host the matchup on January 15, 2022, starting at 8:15 PM ET. An over/under of 43.5 points has been set for the outing.
Bills vs. Patriots Betting Line and Game Info
- Game Day: Saturday, January 15, 2022
- Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
- TV Channel: CBS
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
Bills vs Patriots Betting Information
| Favorite |
Spread |
Favorite spread odds |
Underdog spread odds |
Total |
Over total odds |
Under total odds |
| Bills |
-4.5 |
-110 |
-110 |
43.5 |
-110 |
-110 |
Bills vs. Patriots Best Bets
Prediction for Bills vs Patriots
| Spread Pick |
Total Pick |
Predicted Score |
|
Patriots (+4.5)
|
Over (43.5)
|
Bills 25, Patriots 20
|
Buffalo has covered the spread nine times in 17 games.
The Bills are 6-4-2 as 4.5-point favorites or more.
Buffalo has played 17 games this season, and eight of them have gone over the total.
The Bills, on average, score 10.6 more points (28.4) than the Patriots allow (17.8).
In games where Buffalo scores over 17.8 points it has put together a record of 11-2.
The Bills have a 71.1-yard advantage in average yards gained versus yards allowed compared to the Patriots (381.9 to 310.8). The Bills average 5.8 yards per play, while the Patriots give up 5.3.
Buffalo’s record when it racks up over New England’s season average in yards allowed (310.8 per game): 11-4.
Buffalo Bills Leaders
Josh Allen has thrown for 4,407 yards, completing 63.3% of his passes and tossing 36 touchdowns and 15 interceptions this season. He’s also run for 763 yards (44.9 ypg) on 122 carries with six rushing touchdowns.
Devin Singletary has carried the ball 188 times for a team-high 870 yards on the ground and has found the end zone seven times.
Stefon Diggs’ team-high 1,225 yards as a receiver have come on 103 receptions (out of 164 targets) with 10 touchdowns.
Mario Addison has collected seven sacks to lead the team, while also recording eight TFL and 29 tackles.
Buffalo’s top-tackler, Tremaine Edmunds, has 108 tackles, seven TFL, and one interception this year.
Micah Hyde has picked off a team-leading five passes. He also has 74 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and 10 passes defended to his name.
Buffalo Bills Season Stats
| Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
| Pass yards |
261.8 (4450) |
10 |
| Rush yards |
129.9 (2209) |
6 |
| Points scored |
28.4 (483) |
3 |
| Pass yards against |
179.2 (3047) |
1 |
| Rush yards against |
109.8 (1866) |
14 |
| Points allowed |
17 (289) |
1 |
Against the spread, New England is 10-7-0 this year.
The Patriots are unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 4.5-point underdog or more this year.
New England has seen nine of its 17 games go over the point total.
The Patriots have averaged 10.2 more points this season (27.2) than the Bills have allowed (17).
In games where New England scores more than 17 points this year, it has put together a record of 9-3.
The Bills’ defense has allowed 272.8 yards per game this year, 80.6 yards fewer than the 353.4-yard average from the Patriots’ offense. The Patriots pick up 5.9 yards per play and the Bills give up 4.8.
New England’s record this season when it accumulates more than Buffalo’s season average in yards allowed (272.8 per game): 8-7.
New England Patriots Leaders
Mac Jones has thrown for 3,801 yards on 67.6% passing while recording 22 touchdown passes with 13 interceptions this season.
The team’s top rusher, Damien Harris, has carried the ball 202 times for 929 yards (54.6 per game) with 15 touchdowns.
Jakobi Meyers has totaled 83 receptions this season and his team-high yardage total sits at 866 (50.9 yards per game). He’s been targeted 126 times and has two touchdowns.
Matthew Judon leads the team with 12.5 sacks, and also has 14 TFL and 60 tackles.
Ja’Whaun Bentley is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s picked up 108 tackles, five TFL, and one sack.
J.C. Jackson has a team-leading eight interceptions to go along with 58 tackles, two TFL, and 23 passes defended.
New England Patriots Season Stats
| Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
| Pass yards |
241.1 (4098) |
14 |
| Rush yards |
126.5 (2151) |
8 |
| Points scored |
27.2 (462) |
6 |
| Pass yards against |
202.2 (3437) |
2 |
| Rush yards against |
123.7 (2103) |
22 |
| Points allowed |
17.8 (303) |
2 |
Bills and Patriots Injuries
| Player |
Pos. |
Injury |
Status |
| – |
– |
– |
– |
| Player |
Pos. |
Injury |
Status |
| – |
– |
– |
– |
