Cardinals vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/28/2022

After a four-hit game last time out, Nolan Arenado leads the St. Louis Cardinals (73-54) as -125 favorites against the Atlanta Braves (79-49). Action gets underway from Busch Stadium at 7:08 PM ET on Sunday, live on ESPN. St. Louis’ Adam Wainwright and Atlanta’s Jake Odorizzi have been named the starters for this contest.

Cardinals vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Braves

Our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at +105 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+105) and Over (7.5)

Cardinals vs. Braves Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Jake Odorizzi
• Game Day: Sunday, August 28, 2022
• Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Adam Wainwright

• Wainwright looks for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Cardinals, his 26th of the season. He is 9-9 with a 3.11 ERA and 126 strikeouts in 156 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Chicago Cubs, the right-hander threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 40-year-old has a 3.11 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings across 25 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .239 to opposing hitters.
• Wainwright is trying to continue a third-game quality start streak in this game.
• Wainwright will look to prolong a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per appearance).
• He meets a Braves offense that ranks third in the league with 638 runs while batting .254 as a squad. It has a collective .445 slugging percentage (second in MLB play) and has hit a total of 191 home runs (second in MLB).
• The 40-year-old ranks 23rd in ERA (3.11), 34th in WHIP (1.171), and 46th in K/9 (7.3) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Braves Starter Jake Odorizzi

• The Braves will send Odorizzi (5-5) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.95, a 2.652 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.268 in 16 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start five times in 16 starts this season.
• Odorizzi will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Cardinals rank fourth in MLB with 619 runs scored this season. They have a .259 batting average this campaign with 154 home runs (seventh in the league).

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 50 (67.6%) of those contests.
• St. Louis has a record of 42-18 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
• St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of their 130 opportunities.
• The Cardinals have an ATS record of 72-57-0 in 129 games with a spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won in 10, or 34.5%, of the 29 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Atlanta has a mark of 4-12 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
• Atlanta and their opponents have gone over in 64 of their 127 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Braves have posted a record of 65-62-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt’s 33 long balls and 105 RBI both lead the Cardinals, in addition to his team-high .338 average.
• Goldschmidt’s home runs place him third in the majors, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Goldschmidt carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .368 with two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• Arenado has 34 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 42 walks while batting .306.
• Arenado is 11th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Tommy Edman is batting .252 with 21 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 39 walks.
• Dylan Carlson has 24 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 36 walks while batting .245.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley has a team-high 31 home runs.
• In all of the majors, Riley ranks fourth in homers and 10th in RBI.
• Matt Olson has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 87 RBI.
• Olson is currently 11th in homers and fifth in RBI in the big leagues.
• Dansby Swanson has put up a team-best batting average of .289.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .274.