Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/26/2022

by | Jun 25, 2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (41-33) host the Chicago Cubs (27-45) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Cardinals are favored (-193) to win the rubber match, which starts at 2:15 PM ET from Busch Stadium. Jack Flaherty will get the ball for St. Louis while Chicago counter with Matt Swarmer.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -193 +166 8.5 -113 -107 -1.5 +110 -130

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Cubs

Our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +166 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+166) and Over (8.5)

Cardinals vs. Cubs Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Matt Swarmer
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:15 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Flaherty Swarmer
2 GS 5
0-0 W-L 1-3
6.00 ERA 5.84
6.0 IP 24.2
7 BB 10
4 SO 24

Cardinals Starter Jack Flaherty

  • Flaherty (0-0) gets the start for the Cardinals, his third of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Wednesday, the righty tossed 3 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • In two appearances this season, he has a 6.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .273 against him.
  • He will face a Cubs offense that ranks 17th in the league with 304 runs while batting .244 as a unit. It has a collective .391 slugging percentage (16th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 71 home runs (18th in MLB).

Cubs Starter Matt Swarmer

  • Swarmer (1-3) will take the mound for the Cubs, his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 5.84, a 2.4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.338.
  • In five starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in two of them.
  • Swarmer has made three starts of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 4.3 frames when he pitches.
  • The Cardinals have scored 351 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They have 640 hits, first in baseball, with 76 home runs (13th in the league).
  • The right-hander has allowed the Cardinals to go 2-for-20 with a double, a home run and an RBI in six innings this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have won 25, or 64.1%, of the 39 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • St. Louis has a record of 3-4 when favored by -193 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 65.9% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of their 75 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals are 41-33-0 against the spread in their 74 chances this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have been underdogs in 51 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (37.3%) in those contests.
  • This season, Chicago has been victorious three times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +166 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 37.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 36 of 72 chances this season.
  • The Cubs are 35-37-0 against the spread in their 72 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt is the bat to watch in the Cardinals lineup, leading the team in batting average (.338), home runs (17), and RBI (61).
  • Goldschmidt’s home runs put him 10th in the majors, and he is third in RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado is batting .284 with 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Arenado ranks 23rd in homers and 10th in RBI in the majors.
  • Tommy Edman has 11 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 29 walks while hitting .274.
  • Edman will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Harrison Bader is hitting .260 with seven doubles, three triples, five home runs and 13 walks.
  • Bader takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .143 with a double and a walk.
Paul Goldschmidt 70 .338 .422 .617 17 61 90
Nolan Arenado 70 .284 .350 .515 14 48 75
Tommy Edman 72 .274 .347 .407 7 30 78
Harrison Bader 71 .260 .308 .376 5 21 63
Brendan Donovan 53 .311 .422 .416 1 24 50

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ leads the Cubs with a .285 batting average.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Happ’s home run total is 82nd and his RBI tally ranks 50th.
  • Willson Contreras has 14 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 29 walks while batting .265.
  • Contreras is 39th in home runs and 111th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Patrick Wisdom has been a significant run producer for the Cubs with 14 home runs and 37 runs batted in.
  • Nico Hoerner has six doubles, three triples, four home runs and seven walks while batting .291.
Ian Happ 70 .285 .383 .469 8 36 68
Willson Contreras 63 .265 .383 .496 12 28 60
Patrick Wisdom 68 .232 .319 .465 14 37 56
Nico Hoerner 57 .291 .324 .413 4 22 57
Rafael Ortega 61 .269 .361 .395 4 13 45

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