Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

by | Sep 1, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Cardinals vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (76-55) will take on the Chicago Cubs (56-75) on Friday at 8:15 PM ET. Willson Contreras will be looking for his 98th hit of the season for the underdog Cubs (+175) when the game gets underway at Busch Stadium. Jordan Montgomery will get the ball for St. Louis while Chicago counter with Justin Steele.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -205 +175 7.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +110 -130

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Cubs

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +175. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+175) and Over (7.5)

Cardinals vs. Cubs Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Justin Steele
  • Game Day: Friday, September 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Montgomery Steele
26 GS 0
7-3 W-L 0-0
3.28 ERA
145.1 IP 0
27 BB 0
125 SO 0

Cardinals Starter Jordan Montgomery

  • Montgomery (7-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 125 strikeouts in 145 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cardinals, his 27th of the season.
  • The lefty’s last time out was on Saturday against the Atlanta Braves, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.28, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 26 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .228 batting average against him.
  • Montgomery has 11 quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Montgomery will try to last five or more innings for his sixth straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • He will take the hill against a Cubs team that is batting .241 as a unit (17th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .391 (14th in MLB) with 134 total home runs (15th in MLB).
  • Montgomery has pitched 16 innings without giving up an earned run on six hits, while striking out 12 against the Cubs this season.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 29-year-old ranks 24th in ERA (3.28), 15th in WHIP (1.039), and 35th in K/9 (7.7).

Cubs Starter Justin Steele

  • Steele will make his first start of the season for the Cubs.
  • The left-hander is making his first start of the year. The 27-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
  • The Cardinals rank fourth in MLB with 644 runs scored this season. They have a .258 batting average this campaign with 164 home runs (sixth in the league).

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have won 53, or 67.9%, of the 78 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • St. Louis has entered 11 games this season favored by -205 or more and is 8-3 in those contests.
  • The Cardinals have a 67.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 64 of their 134 chances.
  • In 133 games with a spread this season, the Cardinals are 75-58-0 ATS.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have won in 39, or 41.5%, of the 94 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Chicago has a mark of 3-14 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +175 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 36.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Chicago and their opponents have gone over in 59 of their 133 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 133 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 69-64-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals in home runs (33), runs batted in (105) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .332.
  • Goldschmidt’s home runs rank him third in the majors, and he is third in RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado is batting .307 with 36 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Arenado is 12th in home runs and fifth in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Arenado heads into this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .455 with three doubles, two home runs and seven RBI.
  • Tommy Edman has 24 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .256.
  • Edman has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with three doubles, two home runs and four RBI.
  • Dylan Carlson is batting .243 with 24 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 37 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 124 .332 .418 .617 33 105 155
Nolan Arenado 121 .307 .370 .571 28 89 142
Tommy Edman 127 .256 .318 .390 11 47 124
Dylan Carlson 109 .243 .317 .391 8 39 92
Brendan Donovan 98 .292 .396 .375 2 37 88

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ has plated a team-best 63 runs batted in.
  • Happ’s home run total puts him 77th in MLB, and he is 48th in RBI.
  • Contreras is hitting .246 with 22 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Contreras ranks 35th overall in homers and 79th in RBI this season.
  • Nico Hoerner has accumulated a team-best batting average of .288.
  • Seiya Suzuki is batting .258 with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 35 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ian Happ 128 .278 .351 .458 15 63 130
Willson Contreras 107 .246 .351 .471 21 54 97
Nico Hoerner 116 .288 .336 .407 8 47 119
Seiya Suzuki 91 .258 .332 .420 10 40 84
Christopher Morel 87 .246 .308 .444 13 36 77

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