Cardinals vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/27/2022

by | Jun 26, 2022

The Miami Marlins (33-38), led by Jon Berti on a 10-game hitting streak, will meet the St. Louis Cardinals (41-34) Monday at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals are -141 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 7:45 PM ET . Adam Wainwright will get the ball for St. Louis while Miami counter with Pablo Lopez.

Cardinals vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -141 +120 7.5 -119 -101 -1.5 +144 -169

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +120 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+120) and Over (7.5)

Cardinals vs. Marlins Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
  • Game Day: Monday, June 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:45 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Wainwright López
14 GS 14
5-5 W-L 5-3
3.32 ERA 2.72
84.0 IP 82.2
25 BB 23
67 SO 83

Cardinals Starter Adam Wainwright

  • Wainwright (5-5) takes the mound for the Cardinals in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.32 ERA in 84 innings pitched, with 67 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday, the righty tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 40-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.32, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents are batting .255 against him.
  • Wainwright enters this game with eight quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Wainwright will look to pick up his 13th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance.
  • The opposing Marlins offense has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.398) and ranks 13th in MLB play with 80 home runs. It has a collective .243 batting average, and is 15th in MLB with 583 total hits and 14th in MLB play scoring 316 runs.
  • Wainwright has thrown 5 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out six against the Marlins this season.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 40-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.32), 41st in WHIP (1.262), and 45th in K/9 (7.2).

Marlins Starter Pablo López

  • The Marlins will send Lopez (5-3) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw seven innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up no earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.72, a 3.609 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.065 in 14 games this season.
  • In 14 starts this season, he’s earned six quality starts.
  • Lopez has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Cardinals are batting .253 this season, fifth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .403 (10th in the league) with 79 home runs.
  • The Cardinals have gone 3-for-24 in one game against the right-hander this season.
  • The 26-year-old ranks 14th in ERA (2.72), 18th in WHIP (1.065), and 20th in K/9 (9.0) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Cardinals have won 25 out of the 40 games, or 62.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • St. Louis has a record of 16-10 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -141 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.5% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 38 of their 76 chances.
  • The Cardinals are 41-34-0 against the spread in their 75 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (35%) in those games.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 8-17 when favored by +120 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 37 of 71 chances this season.
  • The Marlins have posted a record of 36-35-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt has accumulated a team-high batting average of .337, while pacing the Cardinals in home runs (18) and runs batted in (62).
  • In all of MLB, Goldschmidt is ninth in homers and third in RBI.
  • Goldschmidt brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with a double, two home runs, five walks and four RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado is batting .283 with 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Arenado is 25th in home runs in baseball, and 10th in RBI.
  • Arenado has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with four doubles, a home run and three RBI.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .269 with 11 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 29 walks.
  • Harrison Bader is batting .256 with seven doubles, three triples, five home runs and 13 walks.
Paul Goldschmidt 71 .337 .421 .622 18 62 91
Nolan Arenado 71 .283 .348 .509 14 49 76
Tommy Edman 73 .269 .342 .400 7 31 78
Harrison Bader 72 .256 .303 .370 5 21 63
Brendan Donovan 54 .315 .426 .448 2 25 52

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jazz Chisholm has managed a team-high 14 home runs and has driven in 45 runs.
  • In all of the majors, Chisholm is 25th in homers and 19th in RBI.
  • Chisholm has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Jorge Soler is hitting .219 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Soler ranks 31st in home runs and 70th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .307.
  • Jesus Aguilar is batting .252 with 12 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.
Jazz Chisholm 59 .255 .326 .538 14 45 54
Jorge Soler 65 .219 .307 .429 13 33 54
Garrett Cooper 63 .307 .372 .452 5 35 70
Jesús Aguilar 64 .252 .302 .413 9 30 61
Miguel Rojas 62 .236 .288 .358 6 19 50

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