Cardinals vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/28/2022

by | Jun 28, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Cardinals vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/28/2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (42-34) and Paul Goldschmidt (four hits last time out) are favored (-156) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Miami Marlins (33-39) on Tuesday at 7:45 PM ET. Dakota Hudson will get the ball for St. Louis while Miami counter with Braxton Garrett.

Cardinals vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -156 +134 8.5 -113 -107 -1.5 +131 -156

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +134 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+134) and Over (8.5)

Cardinals vs. Marlins Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
  • Game Day: Tuesday, June 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:45 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Hudson Garrett
14 GS 4
5-4 W-L 1-2
3.72 ERA 4.08
75.0 IP 17.2
35 BB 5
41 SO 17

Cardinals Starter Dakota Hudson

  • Hudson gets the start for the Cardinals, his 15th of the season. He is 5-4 with a 3.72 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 75 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers, the righty went 4 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.72, with 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents are batting .248 against him.
  • Hudson is looking to collect his sixth quality start of the year in this matchup.
  • Hudson is trying to collect his ninth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • He will face a Marlins offense that ranks 15th in the league with 316 runs while batting .244 as a squad. It has a collective .396 slugging percentage (15th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 80 home runs (14th in MLB).

Marlins Starter Braxton Garrett

  • Garrett (1-2) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his fifth start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up one earned run while allowing nine hits.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 4.08, a 3.4 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.698.
  • Garrett has one start of five or more innings this season in four chances. He averages 4.1 innings per outing.
  • The Cardinals rank second in MLB with 365 runs scored this season. They have a .254 batting average this campaign with 82 home runs (13th in the league).

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been favorites in 41 games this season and won 26 (63.4%) of those contests.
  • St. Louis has a record of 13-10 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -156 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 77 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals have an ATS record of 42-34-0 in 76 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have come away with 14 wins in the 41 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 3-10 when favored by +134 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 42.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 38 of 72 chances this season.
  • The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 36-36-0 in 72 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Goldschmidt’s 19 round-trippers and 64 RBI both lead the Cardinals, in addition to his team-high .347 average.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Goldschmidt’s home run total ranks him seventh, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
  • Goldschmidt brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .471 with two doubles, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado is hitting .278 with 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Arenado ranks 25th in home runs in baseball, and 11th in RBI.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .269 with 11 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 29 walks.
  • Brendan Donovan is hitting .308 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 26 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 72 .347 .429 .642 19 64 95
Nolan Arenado 72 .278 .343 .502 14 49 76
Tommy Edman 74 .269 .340 .398 7 31 79
Brendan Donovan 55 .308 .418 .438 2 25 52
Dylan Carlson 57 .253 .321 .409 4 18 50

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jazz Chisholm has managed a team-leading 14 home runs and has driven in 45 runs.
  • Chisholm is 25th in home runs and 21st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Chisholm has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Garrett Cooper is batting .316 to lead the lineup.
  • Among all major league batters, Cooper ranks 164th in homers and 60th in RBI.
  • Jorge Soler has 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .215.
  • Jesus Aguilar has 12 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks while batting .252.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jazz Chisholm 59 .255 .326 .538 14 45 54
Garrett Cooper 64 .316 .382 .463 5 35 73
Jorge Soler 66 .215 .303 .422 13 33 54
Jesús Aguilar 64 .252 .302 .413 9 30 61
Miguel Rojas 63 .237 .289 .358 6 19 51

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