Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

by | Sep 4, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Cardinals vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

Ildemaro Vargas (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Washington Nationals (47-87) and St. Louis Cardinals (79-55) meet Monday at 4:15 PM ET, live from Busch Stadium. Ildemaro Vargas and the Nationals are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by sportsbooks (+207). Jack Flaherty will get the ball for St. Louis while Washington counter with Anibal Sanchez.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -251 +207 8.5 -106 -114 -1.5 -117 -103

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Nationals

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +207. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+207) and Under (8.5)

Cardinals vs. Nationals Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez
  • Game Day: Monday, September 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:15 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Flaherty Sánchez
0 GS 9
0-0 W-L 1-5
ERA 5.05
0 IP 46.1
0 BB 21
0 SO 32

Cardinals Starter Jack Flaherty

  • Flaherty will start for the Cardinals, his first this season.
  • It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 26-year-old righty.
  • The Nationals have scored 509 runs this season (25th in MLB) and are batting .249 collectively with 114 home runs (27th in the league).

Nationals Starter Aníbal Sánchez

  • The Nationals will send Sanchez (1-5) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in seven innings against the Oakland Athletics.
  • The 38-year-old has an ERA of 5.05, a 1.524 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.317 in nine games this season.
  • In nine starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in one of them.
  • Sánchez has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Cardinals are batting .258 this season, sixth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .430 (third in the league) with 170 home runs.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Cardinals in one game, and they have gone 6-for-23 with two home runs and six RBI over 5 2/3 innings.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have entered the game as favorites 81 times this season and won 56, or 69.1%, of those games.
  • St. Louis has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -251 odds on them winning this game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 71.5%.
  • Games involving St. Louis have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 65 of 137 chances this season.
  • In 136 games with a spread this season, the Cardinals are 78-58-0 ATS.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 115 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (33.9%) in those contests.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win 11 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +207 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 32.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Washington and their opponents have gone over in 65 of their 134 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Nationals have an against the spread record of 60-74-0 in 134 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt paces the Cardinals in home runs (34), runs batted in (107) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .331.
  • In all of MLB, Goldschmidt ranks fourth in home runs and second in RBI.
  • Goldschmidt carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double, a home run, five walks and two RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado is batting .303 with 36 doubles, a triple, 28 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Arenado is 13th in homers and fifth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .262 with 26 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 39 walks.
  • Tommy Edman has at least one base hit in seven games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .375 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs and eight RBI.
  • Dylan Carlson is batting .241 with 24 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 38 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 127 .331 .417 .617 34 107 158
Nolan Arenado 124 .303 .366 .561 28 89 143
Tommy Edman 130 .262 .322 .409 13 51 130
Dylan Carlson 111 .241 .316 .387 8 39 92
Brendan Donovan 100 .287 .391 .368 2 37 88

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Nelson Cruz has a team-leading 64 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Cruz ranks 156th in home runs and 46th in RBI.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .245 with 26 doubles, three triples, a home run and 39 walks.
  • Hernandez is 390th among all batters in the majors in home runs, and 244th in RBI.
  • Keibert Ruiz leads the Nationals with a team-high batting average of .250.
  • Lane Thomas is hitting .245 with 21 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 29 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nelson Cruz 118 .235 .315 .343 10 64 100
César Hernández 128 .245 .309 .316 1 28 122
Keibert Ruiz 108 .250 .310 .354 6 35 96
Lane Thomas 119 .245 .299 .418 15 44 96
Luke Voit 107 .225 .318 .409 18 57 88

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