Cardinals vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (40-37) will lean on Darick Hall, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals (43-35) on Friday at 6:05 PM ET. The Phillies are +126 underdogs for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Miles Mikolas will get the ball for St. Louis while Philadelphia counter with Bailey Falter.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +126 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+126) and Over (9.5)

Cardinals vs. Phillies Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Bailey Falter
• Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 6:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Miles Mikolas

• Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals, his 16th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 2.57 ERA and 78 strikeouts in 94 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, the righty threw 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 2.57, with 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .207 batting average against him.
• Mikolas is aiming to record his fifth quality start in a row in this outing.
• Mikolas will look to last five or more innings for his 15th straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing.
• The opposing Phillies offense has a collective .247 batting average, and is ninth in the league with 647 total hits and fourth in MLB action with 370 runs scored. It has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.416) and ranks sixth in home runs (99) in all of MLB.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 33-year-old’s 2.57 ERA ranks 12th, .961 WHIP ranks eighth, and 7.4 K/9 ranks 48th.

Phillies Starter Bailey Falter

• The Phillies will send Falter to the mound for his first start this season.
• This will be the first start of the season for the 25-year-old left-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
• The Cardinals have scored 373 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They have 677 hits, third in baseball, with 82 home runs (13th in the league).

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have won 27, or 64.3%, of the 42 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• St. Louis is 14-10 this season when entering a game favored by -149 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 59.8% chance to win.
• St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 79 opportunities.
• The Cardinals are 44-34-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (44.8%) in those contests.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 7-5 when favored by +126 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 77 opportunities.
• The Phillies have an against the spread record of 39-38-0 in 77 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Paul Goldschmidt lead the Cardinals in hitting with his .342 average, he also paces the squad with 19 home runs and 65 RBI.
• Goldschmidt is eighth in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Nolan Arenado has 19 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .278.
• Arenado is 30th in homers and 14th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Tommy Edman is batting .271 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Brendan Donovan is batting .307 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 26 walks.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has put up a team-leading 23 home runs and has driven in 50 runs.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Schwarber’s home run total ranks second and his RBI tally is 13th.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .251 with 14 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.
• Hoskins is currently 20th in home runs and 42nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .248 with 17 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks.
• J.T. Realmuto has 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 22 walks while hitting .239.