Cardinals vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-39) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they visit the St. Louis Cardinals (45-42) Sunday at 2:15 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Cardinals to be -116 favorites, while the Phillies are -104 underdogs to keep their streak alive. St. Louis’ Andre Pallante gets the start, and he’ll go against Philadelphia’s Nick Nelson.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at -104 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-104) and Over (9)

Cardinals vs. Phillies Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Andre Pallante
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Nick Nelson
• Game Day: Sunday, July 10, 2022
• Game Time: 2:15 PM ET
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Andre Pallante

• Pallante makes the start for the Cardinals, his seventh of the season. He is 2-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 59 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, when he went 3 2/3 innings, allowing seven earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 23-year-old has an ERA of 3.03, with 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .262 against him.
• Pallante enters the game with two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Pallante will try to pick up his fifth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 2.1 innings per appearance.
• He will face a Phillies offense that ranks 10th in MLB with 710 total hits (on a .246 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .418 (seventh in MLB) with 111 total home runs (fifth in MLB).

Phillies Starter Nick Nelson

• Nelson gets the nod for the Phillies and will make his first start of the season.
• The 26-year-old righty has pitched out of the bullpen 22 times already this campaign, but will make his first start.
• He has an ERA of 4.17, a batting average against of .223 and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 22 games this season.
• The Cardinals have scored 390 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They have 738 hits, sixth in baseball, with 90 home runs (14th in the league).

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Cardinals have won 27 out of the 44 games, or 61.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
• St. Louis has a record of 26-14 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
• Games involving St. Louis have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 88 chances this season.
• The Cardinals are 46-41-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (48.4%) in those games.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 14-15 when favored by -104 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 85 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 85 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 45-40-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt paces the Cardinals in home runs (19), runs batted in (65) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .340.
• Goldschmidt ranks 13th in home runs and fourth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Nolan Arenado is hitting .291 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 30 walks.
• Arenado is 19th in homers in MLB, and 11th in RBI.
• Tommy Edman has 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks while hitting .257.
• Brendan Donovan has 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 29 walks while hitting .285.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has a team-leading 27 home runs and has driven in 56 runs.
• Schwarber’s home run total places him second in the majors, and he ranks 10th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .248 with 16 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
• Hoskins ranks 19th in homers and 52nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .248 with 18 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks.
• J.T. Realmuto is batting .239 with 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.