Cardinals vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/9/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (45-39) will lean on Alec Bohm, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals (45-41) on Saturday at 2:15 PM ET. The Phillies are -103 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers. Dakota Hudson takes the mound for St. Louis while Kyle Gibson is Philadelphia’s starter for the contest.

Cardinals vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Phillies

Our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at -103 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-103) and Over (8.5)

Cardinals vs. Phillies Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Game Day: Saturday, July 9, 2022
• Game Time: 2:15 PM ET
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Dakota Hudson

• Hudson gets the start for the Cardinals, his 17th of the season. He is 6-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 84 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Monday against the Atlanta Braves, the right-hander went 4 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.29, with 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .266 against him.
• Hudson enters the outing with five quality starts under his belt this year.
• Hudson heads into the game with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
• The opposing Phillies offense has a collective .247 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 705 total hits and fourth in MLB play with 405 runs scored. It has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.421) and ranks fifth in home runs (111) in all of MLB.

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• The Phillies will hand the ball to Gibson (4-3) for his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed seven hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the St. Louis Cardinals on Saturday.
• The 34-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 4.91, a 2.8 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.304.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned seven quality starts.
• Gibson has started 16 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 10 times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The Cardinals rank eighth in MLB with 390 runs scored this season. They have a .251 batting average this campaign with 90 home runs (13th in the league).
• The Cardinals have gone 7-for-19 with a double, four home runs and six RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 34-year-old’s 4.91 ERA ranks 59th, 1.304 WHIP ranks 48th, and 7.5 K/9 ranks 43rd.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Cardinals have won 27 out of the 43 games, or 62.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• St. Louis is 27-13 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
• St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 40 of their 87 chances.
• The Cardinals are 46-40-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been victorious in 14, or 46.7%, of the 30 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 13 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 84 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Phillies have posted a record of 44-40-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals in home runs (19), runs batted in (65) and has a team-high batting average of .344.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Goldschmidt’s home run total ranks him 13th, and his RBI tally puts him third.
• Goldschmidt carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with two doubles and three walks.
• Nolan Arenado is batting .295 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 30 walks.
• Arenado ranks 18th in home runs and 11th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Tommy Edman is hitting .258 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.
• Dylan Carlson is batting .256 with 17 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 20 walks.
• Carlson is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a double, a walk and an RBI.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies in home runs (27) and runs batted in (56).
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Schwarber is second in home runs and 10th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .252 with 16 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
• Hoskins ranks 18th in homers and 48th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .251 with 18 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks.
• J.T. Realmuto has 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks while hitting .239.