Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/12/2022

by | Jun 11, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/12/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (20-39) will look to Kyle Farmer, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals (34-26) on Sunday at 2:15 PM ET. The Reds are +152 underdogs for the contest, according to oddsmakers. St. Louis’ Dakota Hudson and Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft have been named the starters for this contest.

Cardinals vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -174 +152 8 -110 -110 -1.5 +130 -151

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+152) and Over (8)

Cardinals vs. Reds Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:15 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Hudson Ashcraft
11 GS 4
4-2 W-L 3-0
2.76 ERA 1.14
58.2 IP 23.2
25 BB 5
34 SO 13

Cardinals Starter Dakota Hudson

  • Hudson (4-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 58 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cardinals, his 12th of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when he tossed seven innings, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
  • The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.76, with 5.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents have a .221 batting average against him.
  • Hudson is looking for his third quality start in a row.
  • Hudson is seeking his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • He will face a Reds squad that is batting .236 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .376 (22nd in MLB) with 56 total home runs (19th in MLB).
  • Hudson has pitched 6 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out four against the Reds this season.

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

  • The Reds’ Ashcraft (3-0) will make his fifth start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 1.14 and 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .176.
  • He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
  • Ashcraft has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Cardinals have scored 282 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 57 home runs, 16th in the league.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have won 20, or 66.7%, of the 30 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season, St. Louis has won four of its seven games when favored by at least -174 on the moneyline.
  • The Cardinals have a 63.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of their 61 games with a total.
  • The Cardinals are 33-27-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (34.1%) in those games.
  • This year, Cincinnati has won seven of 24 games when listed as at least +152 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 39.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of their 60 opportunities.
  • In 60 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 27-33-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with 12 home runs and 47 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .327.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Goldschmidt’s home run total places him 16th, and his RBI tally ranks him third.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .278 with eight doubles, three triples, six home runs and 25 walks.
  • Including all MLB batters, Tommy Edman is 92nd in home runs and 89th in RBI.
  • Tommy Edman heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Nolan Arenado is hitting .283 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 24 walks.
  • Arenado will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
  • Harrison Bader is batting .264 with five doubles, a triple, five home runs and 10 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 58 .327 .411 .577 12 47 72
Tommy Edman 59 .278 .357 .419 6 25 63
Nolan Arenado 57 .283 .356 .491 10 39 60
Harrison Bader 57 .264 .305 .376 5 19 52
Brendan Donovan 39 .287 .408 .398 1 15 31

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury paces the Reds with 11 long balls.
  • Drury’s home run total places him 27th in MLB, and he ranks 46th in RBI.
  • Drury brings a hitting streak of 10 games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with a double, three home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • Kyle Farmer has 34 runs batted in while batting .274. Both lead his team.
  • Farmer is 123rd overall in home runs and 22nd in RBI this year.
  • Tommy Pham is hitting .246 with eight doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
  • Joey Votto is hitting .212 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 25 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Brandon Drury 50 .266 .330 .505 11 30 49
Kyle Farmer 51 .274 .335 .430 5 34 49
Tommy Pham 52 .246 .342 .401 7 24 46
Joey Votto 43 .212 .347 .397 5 22 31
Matt Reynolds 38 .266 .336 .404 3 12 29

Betting Tips for Cardinals vs. Reds

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +152. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

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