Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/15/2022

by | Jul 15, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/15/2022

Nolan Arenado is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the St. Louis Cardinals (48-44) as they get set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (34-55) on Friday. The Cardinals enter the matchup as -170 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Busch Stadium at 8:15 PM ET. St. Louis’ Andre Pallante and Cincinnati’s Hunter Greene have been named the starters for this contest.

Cardinals vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Cardinals vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cardinals -170 +143 9 +103 -123 -1.5 +120 -145

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Reds

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +143. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+143) and Over (9)

Cardinals vs. Reds Game Info

  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Andre Pallante
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Hunter Greene
  • Game Day: Friday, July 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Pallante Greene
7 GS 17
2-4 W-L 3-10
3.18 ERA 5.70
65.0 IP 85.1
23 BB 37
42 SO 107

Cardinals Starter Andre Pallante

  • Pallante gets the start for the Cardinals, his eighth of the season. He is 2-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 65 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 3.18, with 5.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 25 games this season. Opponents are batting .273 against him.
  • Pallante enters the matchup with two quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Pallante is trying to record his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
  • He meets a Reds offense that ranks 17th in the league with 384 runs while batting .240 as a squad. It has a collective .379 slugging percentage (24th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 83 home runs (21st in MLB).
  • In 6 2/3 innings over two appearances against the Reds this season, Pallante has a 0 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP while his opponents are batting .208.

Reds Starter Hunter Greene

  • Greene (3-10) will take the mound for the Reds, his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 22-year-old has an ERA of 5.70 and 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .236 in 17 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start four times in 17 starts this season.
  • Greene has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Cardinals are batting .250 this season, eighth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .401 (12th in the league) with 96 home runs.
  • The Cardinals have gone 6-for-31 with a double and four RBI in two games against the right-hander this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have entered the game as favorites 45 times this season and won 28, or 62.2%, of those games.
  • St. Louis has entered 13 games this season favored by -170 or more and is 8-5 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
  • St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 93 games with a total this season.
  • In 92 games with a spread this season, the Cardinals are 49-43-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 71 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (39.4%) in those contests.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 13-27 when favored by +143 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 41.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 91 opportunities.
  • The Reds have an against the spread mark of 43-48-0 in 91 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Not only does Paul Goldschmidt lead the Cardinals in hitting with his .331 average, he also paces the squad with 19 home runs and 67 RBI.
  • Among all MLB batters, Goldschmidt ranks second in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and sixth in slugging.
  • Goldschmidt carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with a walk and two RBI.
  • Arenado has 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 33 walks while batting .296.
  • Among all major league hitters, Arenado ranks 19th in homers and 10th in RBI.
  • Arenado has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .255 with 15 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.
  • Dylan Carlson has 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 22 walks while hitting .256.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 88 .331 .413 .587 19 67 110
Nolan Arenado 87 .296 .363 .530 18 58 97
Tommy Edman 90 .255 .318 .374 7 33 90
Dylan Carlson 73 .256 .319 .402 5 24 65
Brendan Donovan 67 .281 .390 .386 2 26 59

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury paces the Reds with 18 home runs and 51 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .276.
  • Drury is 19th in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Drury carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .333 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
  • Tommy Pham has 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 39 walks while batting .244.
  • Pham is 71st in home runs and 92nd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Kyle Farmer is hitting .266 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 19 walks.
  • Tyler Stephenson has nine doubles, six home runs and 12 walks while hitting .323.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Brandon Drury 79 .276 .333 .528 18 51 83
Tommy Pham 80 .244 .330 .395 11 36 73
Kyle Farmer 75 .266 .334 .397 6 44 71
Tyler Stephenson 47 .323 .376 .491 6 35 52
Joey Votto 65 .215 .330 .377 6 29 49

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