Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

Nolan Arenado is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the St. Louis Cardinals (49-44) as they get set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (34-56) on Saturday. The Cardinals enter the matchup as -165 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Busch Stadium at 2:15 PM ET. St. Louis’ Miles Mikolas gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Nick Lodolo.

Cardinals vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +141 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+141) and Under (8.5)

Cardinals vs. Reds Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo
• Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
• Game Time: 2:15 PM ET
• Location: St. Louis, Missouri
• Stadium: Busch Stadium

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Miles Mikolas

• Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals, his 19th of the season. He is 6-7 with a 2.62 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 113 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent appearance came on Monday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he went 7 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up six hits.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 2.62, with 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .213 batting average against him.
• Mikolas is trying to build on a second-game quality start streak in this outing.
• Mikolas will aim to pitch five or more innings for his 18th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
• He meets a Reds offense that ranks 17th in the league with 387 runs while batting .241 as a squad. It has a collective .378 slugging percentage (24th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 83 home runs (22nd in MLB).
• The 33-year-old ranks 10th in ERA (2.62), 10th in WHIP (.979), and 54th in K/9 (7.0) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Reds Starter Nick Lodolo

• The Reds’ Lodolo (2-2) will make his sixth start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 4.44 and 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .297.
• In five starts this season, Lodolo has not yet earned a quality start.
• Lodolo has made three starts of five or more innings in five chances this season, and averages 4.3 frames when he pitches.
• The Cardinals have scored 420 runs this season, which ranks eighth in MLB. They have 790 hits, fifth in baseball, with 97 home runs (14th in the league).
• The left-hander has allowed the Cardinals to go 5-for-22 with three doubles and an RBI in 5 2/3 innings this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have won 29, or 63%, of the 46 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• St. Louis is 10-7 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
• St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 43 of their 94 opportunities.
• The Cardinals are 50-43-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been underdogs in 72 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (38.9%) in those contests.
• This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 13 times in 40 chances when named as an underdog of at least +141 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 41.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 49 of 92 chances this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread record of 43-49-0 in 92 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt paces the Cardinals in home runs (19), runs batted in (67) and has a team-best batting average of .329.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Goldschmidt’s home run total places him 16th, and his RBI tally puts him fourth.
• Arenado is hitting .293 with 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 33 walks.
• Arenado ranks 19th in homers and 12th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Tommy Edman is hitting .257 with 16 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.
• Dylan Carlson is batting .259 with 19 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 25 walks.
• Carlson is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with two doubles, five walks and an RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury leads the squad with a batting average of .275, while pacing the Reds in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 51.
• Drury ranks 19th in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Drury takes a hitting streak of eight games into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .357 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, four walks and six RBI.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .242 with 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 40 walks.
• Pham is currently 72nd in home runs and 95th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Kyle Farmer is hitting .267 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Tyler Stephenson has nine doubles, six home runs and 12 walks while batting .327.