Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/22/2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (50-44) are -142 favorites when they meet the Cincinnati Reds (34-57) on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. Nolan Arenado has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Great American Ball Park. St. Louis’ Adam Wainwright gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft.

Cardinals vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +121 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+121) and Over (10)

Cardinals vs. Reds Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
• Game Day: Friday, July 22, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Adam Wainwright

• Wainwright (6-7 with a 3.00 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 111 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cardinals, his 19th of the season.
• The righty last pitched on Wednesday, July 13 against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went 5 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
• In 18 games this season, the 40-year-old has an ERA of 3.00, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .251 against him.
• Wainwright has 10 quality starts this year.
• Wainwright will look to prolong a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Reds offense has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.377) and is 23rd in MLB play with 84 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 24th in MLB with 723 total hits and 18th in MLB action scoring 390 runs.
• Wainwright has a 5.25 ERA and a 1.667 WHIP against the Reds this season in 12 innings pitched, allowing a .340 batting average over two appearances.
• The 40-year-old ranks 22nd in ERA (3.00), 42nd in WHIP (1.225), and 51st in K/9 (7.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

• The Reds will send Ashcraft (4-2) to the mound for his 11th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, July 12, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 4.45, a 2.667 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.354.
• In 10 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in five of them.
• Ashcraft will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Cardinals rank sixth in MLB with 431 runs scored this season. They have a .251 batting average this campaign with 99 home runs (14th in the league).
• The Cardinals have gone 9-for-25 with a double, a home run and four RBI in 4 2/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have entered the game as favorites 47 times this season and won 30, or 63.8%, of those games.
• This season, St. Louis has won 19 of its 30 games, or 63.3%, when favored by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Cardinals.
• St. Louis and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of their 95 games with a total this season.
• The Cardinals are 51-43-0 against the spread in their 94 chances this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have come away with 28 wins in the 73 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cincinnati has a mark of 20-35 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 50 of 93 chances this season.
• The Reds have posted a record of 43-50-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt has put up a team-best batting average of .330, while pacing the Cardinals in home runs (20) and runs batted in (70).
• Among all MLB hitters, Goldschmidt ranks second in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and fifth in slugging.
• Arenado has 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .293.
• Of all MLB batters, Arenado is 22nd in home runs and 13th in RBI.
• Tommy Edman has 16 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 31 walks while hitting .259.
• Edman is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .333 with three doubles and a walk.
• Dylan Carlson has 19 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 25 walks while hitting .257.
• Carlson brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .211 with two doubles, a triple, five walks and two RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury leads the Reds in home runs (18), runs batted in (52) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .275.
• In all of MLB, Drury is 22nd in homers and 26th in RBI.
• Drury has collected a hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .333 with four doubles, a triple, a home run, three walks and seven RBI.
• Tommy Pham is batting .242 with 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 40 walks.
• Among all MLB batters, Pham is 78th in homers and 101st in RBI.
• Kyle Farmer is batting .264 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Tyler Stephenson is hitting .319 with nine doubles, six home runs and 12 walks.