Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (50-45) will meet the Cincinnati Reds (35-57) on Saturday at 6:40 PM ET. Nolan Arenado will be looking for his 100th hit of the season for the favored Cardinals (-157) when the game gets underway at Great American Ball Park. Steven Matz gets the starting nod for St. Louis while Mike Minor is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Cardinals vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Reds

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +134. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+134) and Over (10)

Cardinals vs. Reds Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Steven Matz
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Mike Minor
• Game Day: Saturday, July 23, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Steven Matz

• Matz (3-3) gets the starting nod for the Cardinals in his 10th start of the season. He’s put together a 6.03 ERA in 37 1/3 innings pitched, with 44 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Sunday, May 22, the lefty threw zero scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates without surrendering a hit.
• In nine games this season, the 31-year-old has amassed a 6.03 ERA and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .284 to opposing hitters.
• Matz enters the outing with two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Matz has put up five starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Reds offense has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.379) and is 21st in MLB play with 87 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 22nd in MLB with 730 total hits and 17th in MLB action scoring 399 runs.
• In five innings over one appearance against the Reds this season, Matz has a 1.8 ERA and a 1.8 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .350.

Reds Starter Mike Minor

• The Reds will send Minor (1-6) to the mound for his ninth start this season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, July 13, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in 4 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees.
• The 34-year-old has pitched to a 6.21 ERA this season with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.2 walks per nine across eight games.
• He has started eight games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
• Minor has made five starts of five or more innings in eight chances this season, and averages 5.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Cardinals have scored 436 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 812 hits, fifth in baseball, with 100 home runs (14th in the league).

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have won 30, or 62.5%, of the 48 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, St. Louis has won 14 of its 24 games, or 58.3%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 61.1%.
• St. Louis and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of their 96 opportunities.
• The Cardinals are 51-44-0 against the spread in their 95 chances this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been victorious in 29, or 39.2%, of the 74 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cincinnati has a mark of 16-28 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +134 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 94 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 44-50-0 against the spread.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt’s 21 round-trippers and 72 RBI both lead the Cardinals, on top of his team-high .331 average.
• In all of MLB, Goldschmidt is 13th in home runs and fourth in RBI.
• Goldschmidt carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Arenado is hitting .295 with 22 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 33 walks.
• Arenado is 22nd in home runs and 14th in RBI in the majors.
• Tommy Edman has 16 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 32 walks while hitting .259.
• Edman will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .304 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Dylan Carlson is hitting .260 with 20 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 25 walks.
• Carlson is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with three doubles, a triple, four walks and two RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury leads the squad with a batting average of .272, and paces the Reds in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 52.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Drury’s home run total is 22nd and his RBI tally is 27th.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .239 with 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 40 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Pham is 79th in home runs and 106th in RBI.
• Kyle Farmer is batting .265 with 18 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
• Joey Votto is hitting .217 with 17 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 33 walks.