Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/24/2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (51-45), led by Paul Goldschmidt on a three-game home run streak, are -144 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (35-58). First pitch is set for 1:40 PM ET Sunday, live from Great American Ball Park. St. Louis’ Miles Mikolas gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Tyler Mahle.

Cardinals vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +124 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+124) and Over (10)

Cardinals vs. Reds Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
• Game Day: Sunday, July 24, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Miles Mikolas

• Mikolas makes the start for the Cardinals, his 20th of the season. He is 7-7 with a 2.54 ERA and 92 strikeouts in 120 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out came on Saturday, July 16 against the Cincinnati Reds, when the righty went 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
• The 33-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.54, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents have a .210 batting average against him.
• Mikolas is trying to notch his fourth quality start in a row in this game.
• Mikolas will try to build upon a 19-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
• He will match up with a Reds offense that ranks 25th in MLB with 736 total hits (on a .239 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .378 (24th in MLB) with 88 total home runs (21st in MLB).
• Mikolas has a 1.29 ERA and a 0.571 WHIP against the Reds this season in seven innings pitched, allowing a .136 batting average over one appearance.
• The 33-year-old ranks ninth in ERA (2.54), seventh in WHIP (.956), and 51st in K/9 (6.9) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Reds Starter Tyler Mahle

• Mahle has been named the starter for the Reds and will make his first start this season.
• The 27-year-old right-hander will make his season debut.
• The Cardinals rank sixth in MLB with a .252 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 11th in the league (.405) and 102 home runs.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have been favorites in 49 games this season and won 31 (63.3%) of those contests.
• St. Louis is 18-11 this season when entering a game favored by -144 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 59% chance to win.
• Games involving St. Louis have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 45 of 97 chances this season.
• The Cardinals have an ATS record of 52-44-0 in 96 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 75 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (38.7%) in those games.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 20-34 when favored by +124 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 51 of 95 chances this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 44-51-0 in 95 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Goldschmidt’s 22 home runs and 74 RBI both lead the Cardinals, on top of his team-high .333 average.
• Goldschmidt ranks ninth in home runs and fourth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Goldschmidt has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with three home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Nolan Arenado is hitting .299 with 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 33 walks.
• Arenado ranks 22nd in homers and 14th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Arenado enters this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with four doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Tommy Edman is batting .259 with 17 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 34 walks.
• Edman is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, four walks and two RBI.
• Dylan Carlson is batting .260 with 21 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 25 walks.
• Carlson is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with four doubles, a triple, four walks and two RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury leads the lineup with a batting average of .271, while pacing the Reds in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 54.
• In all of the majors, Drury is 22nd in home runs and 24th in RBI.
• Tommy Pham has 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 40 walks while batting .239.
• Pham ranks 83rd in homers and 110th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Kyle Farmer is batting .262 with 18 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks.
• Joey Votto is hitting .213 with 17 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 33 walks.