Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/30/2022

The St. Louis Cardinals (75-54) will look to Tyler O’Neill, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (50-77) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. The Cardinals are -212 favorites for the contest, according to oddsmakers. St. Louis’ Dakota Hudson gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Justin Dunn.

Cardinals vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cardinals vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +176 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+176) and Over (10)

Cardinals vs. Reds Game Info

• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Justin Dunn
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 30, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cardinals Starter Dakota Hudson

• Hudson (7-6) gets the starting nod for the Cardinals in his 24th start of the season. He has a 4.23 ERA in 121 1/3 innings pitched, with 70 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the righty tossed seven innings against the Chicago Cubs, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.23, with 5.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opponents are batting .260 against him.
• Hudson has seven quality starts under his belt this season.
• Hudson is trying to record his 14th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
• The opposing Reds offense has a collective .240 batting average, and is 20th in the league with 1015 total hits and 18th in MLB play with 540 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.379) and ranks 19th in home runs (123) in all of MLB.
• Head-to-head against the Reds this season, Hudson has pitched 13 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on 11 hits while striking out six.

Reds Starter Justin Dunn

• Dunn (1-2) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his fifth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a 5.12 ERA this season with 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.7 walks per nine across four games.
• He has earned a quality start one time in four starts this season.
• Dunn will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Cardinals have scored 638 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .260 for the campaign with 161 home runs, seventh in the league.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Cardinals have been favored 76 times and won 52, or 68.4%, of those games.
• This season, St. Louis has won six of its seven games when favored by at least -212 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 67.9% chance to win.
• St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 64 of their 132 chances.
• The Cardinals have an ATS record of 74-57-0 in 131 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 100 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (40%) in those games.
• This season, Cincinnati has been victorious six times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +176 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 36.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 65 of their 129 opportunities.
• The Reds have posted a record of 61-68-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt has accumulated a team-high batting average of .335, and paces the Cardinals in home runs (33) and runs batted in (105).
• Among all MLB hitters, Goldschmidt is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
• Nolan Arenado is batting .308 with 35 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 42 walks.
• Arenado is 14th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Arenado carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .556 with two doubles, two home runs and six RBI.
• Tommy Edman has 23 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .254.
• Edman will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and three RBI.
• Dylan Carlson has 24 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 37 walks while hitting .242.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer has recorded a team-best batting average of .261 while leading the Reds in runs batted in with a mark of 58.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Farmer is 173rd in home runs and 63rd in RBI.
• Nick Senzel has 11 doubles, four home runs and 24 walks while batting .243.
• Senzel is currently 280th in home runs and 279th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Jonathan India is hitting .253 with 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 15 walks.
• Donovan Solano is batting .326 with 12 doubles, three home runs and 13 walks.