Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

by | Aug 5, 2022

The Chicago Cubs (41-63) hope to avoid their sixth straight defeat when they host the Miami Marlins (48-57) Friday at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs are listed as -139 favorites to snap their losing skid, while the Marlins are +118 underdogs. Chicago will send Justin Steele out to start this one, while Miami has not yet named a starter.

Cubs vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Cubs vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cubs -139 +118 7.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +151 -182

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +118 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+118) and Over (7.5)

Cubs vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Justin Steele
  • Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

Cubs Starter Justin Steele

  • Steele gets the start for the Cubs, his 20th of the season. He is 4-7 with a 3.86 ERA and 87 strikeouts through 91 innings pitched.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.86, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are hitting .249 against him.
  • Steele enters this matchup with five quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Steele has put up 12 starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • He will face a Marlins team that is hitting .237 as a unit (22nd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .374 (27th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 29 times this season and won 12, or 41.4%, of those games.
  • Chicago is 5-7 this season when entering a game favored by -139 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 58.2% chance to win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 106 opportunities.
  • The Cubs are 54-52-0 ATS in their 106 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have come away with 19 wins in the 56 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Miami has won nine of 32 games when listed as at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 105 opportunities.
  • In 105 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 46-59-0 against the spread.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Willson Contreras is great at finding his way aboard when he’s at the plate. Contreras leads the Cubs this season with a .369 OBP and 83 hits.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Contreras is 82nd in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and 37th in slugging.
  • Ian Happ is hitting .273 with 25 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
  • Happ ranks 136th in homers and 74th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with a .292 batting average.
  • Patrick Wisdom has shown off his power as he leads his team with 20 home runs and 52 runs batted in.
Willson Contreras 89 .253 .369 .466 15 39 83
Ian Happ 101 .273 .353 .426 9 46 100
Nico Hoerner 89 .292 .335 .412 6 33 93
Patrick Wisdom 100 .224 .319 .456 20 52 79
Christopher Morel 65 .260 .333 .455 9 29 64

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jesus Aguilar is hitting .243 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .290.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Aguilar’s home run total is 72nd and his RBI tally ranks 86th.
  • Aguilar carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .133 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Miguel Rojas is batting .238 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Rojas ranks 197th in home runs and 196th in RBI.
  • Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins’ lineup with a .278 batting average.
  • Joey Wendle is hitting .268 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.
Jesús Aguilar 96 .243 .290 .395 13 44 88
Miguel Rojas 94 .238 .284 .344 6 28 76
Garrett Cooper 85 .278 .346 .427 7 42 84
Joey Wendle 56 .268 .314 .368 2 21 51
Bryan De La Cruz 86 .206 .253 .342 7 21 47

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