Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

The Chicago Cubs (41-63) hope to avoid their sixth straight defeat when they host the Miami Marlins (48-57) Friday at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs are listed as -139 favorites to snap their losing skid, while the Marlins are +118 underdogs. Chicago will send Justin Steele out to start this one, while Miami has not yet named a starter.

Cubs vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +118 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+118) and Over (7.5)

Cubs vs. Marlins Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Justin Steele
• Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Cubs Starter Justin Steele

• Steele gets the start for the Cubs, his 20th of the season. He is 4-7 with a 3.86 ERA and 87 strikeouts through 91 innings pitched.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.86, with 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are hitting .249 against him.
• Steele enters this matchup with five quality starts under his belt this year.
• Steele has put up 12 starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will face a Marlins team that is hitting .237 as a unit (22nd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .374 (27th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 29 times this season and won 12, or 41.4%, of those games.
• Chicago is 5-7 this season when entering a game favored by -139 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 58.2% chance to win.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 106 opportunities.
• The Cubs are 54-52-0 ATS in their 106 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 19 wins in the 56 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Miami has won nine of 32 games when listed as at least +118 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 105 opportunities.
• In 105 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 46-59-0 against the spread.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras is great at finding his way aboard when he’s at the plate. Contreras leads the Cubs this season with a .369 OBP and 83 hits.
• Including all MLB hitters, Contreras is 82nd in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and 37th in slugging.
• Ian Happ is hitting .273 with 25 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
• Happ ranks 136th in homers and 74th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with a .292 batting average.
• Patrick Wisdom has shown off his power as he leads his team with 20 home runs and 52 runs batted in.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .243 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .290.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Aguilar’s home run total is 72nd and his RBI tally ranks 86th.
• Aguilar carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .133 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is batting .238 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Rojas ranks 197th in home runs and 196th in RBI.
• Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins’ lineup with a .278 batting average.
• Joey Wendle is hitting .268 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.