Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/7/2022

The Chicago Cubs (43-63) will look to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into their final matchup against the Miami Marlins (48-59) at 2:20 PM ET Sunday from Wrigley Field. The Cubs are favored (-116) by oddsmakers. Chicago’s Adrian Sampson gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Jesus Luzardo.

Cubs vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at -102 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (-102) and Over (8.5)

Cubs vs. Marlins Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
• Game Day: Sunday, August 7, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

• The Cubs are sending Sampson (0-2) to the mound to make his eighth start of the season. He is 0-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 43 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent outing on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, the right-hander threw four innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• In nine games this season, the 30-year-old has a 3.74 ERA and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .247 to opposing batters.
• Sampson is trying to record his second quality start of the year.
• Sampson has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season heading into this outing.
• He will take the hill against a Marlins squad that is hitting .236 as a unit (22nd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .370 (27th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (22nd in MLB).

Marlins Starter Jesús Luzardo

• Luzardo (2-4) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his eighth start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in five innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Monday.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.97, a 2.875 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.088.
• In seven starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in two of them.
• In seven starts, Luzardo has pitched through or past the fifth inning five times. He has a season average of 4.3 frames per outing.
• The Cubs have scored 439 runs this season, which ranks 21st in MLB. They have 868 hits, 17th in baseball, with 104 home runs (19th in the league).

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Cubs have won 13 out of the 30 games, or 43.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Chicago is 12-13 this season when entering a game favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• Games involving Chicago have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 48 of 108 chances this season.
• In 108 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 55-53-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won in 19, or 33.3%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 15 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of their 107 opportunities.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 47-60-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras has been stellar at finding his way aboard for the Cubs this season, leading the squad with a .366 OBP and 85 hits.
• Contreras’ home runs place him 41st in the majors, and he is 100th in RBI.
• Contreras takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .278 with a double, a triple, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Ian Happ has 27 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 44 walks while batting .277.
• Happ ranks 139th in home runs and 79th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Happ has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with two doubles and two walks.
• Nico Hoerner has racked up a team-best batting average of .298.
• Patrick Wisdom has hit 20 home runs with 52 runs batted in. Both pace his team.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar is batting .241 with 16 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Aguilar is 75th in homers and 88th in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .235 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Rojas ranks 200th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 201st in RBI.
• Garrett Cooper has racked up a team-high batting average of .274.
• Joey Wendle is batting .261 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.