Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/12/2022

by | Jul 11, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/12/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (43-44) will vie for their ninth straight victory when they visit the Chicago Cubs (34-52) on Tuesday at 8:05 PM ET. The Cubs are listed as -130 favorites to stop the streak, while the Orioles are +110 underdogs to keep their momentum. Chicago’s Adrian Sampson gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Jordan Lyles.

Cubs vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Cubs vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cubs -130 +110 9.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +150 -175

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +110 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+110) and Over (9.5)

Cubs vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
  • Game Day: Tuesday, July 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:05 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Sampson Lyles
3 GS 17
0-0 W-L 5-7
3.32 ERA 4.59
21.2 IP 98.0
3 BB 31
19 SO 81

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

  • Sampson gets the start for the Cubs, his fourth of the season. He is 0-0 with a 3.32 ERA and 19 strikeouts through 21 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s last time out came on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
  • The 30-year-old has put together a 3.32 ERA and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings in five games this season, while giving up a batting average of .232 to his opponents.
  • Sampson is aiming for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • He will face off against an Orioles offense that is batting .230 as a unit (26th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .381 (21st in MLB) with 87 total home runs (17th in MLB).

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

  • The Orioles will hand the ball to Lyles (5-7) for his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 4.59, a 2.613 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.398.
  • He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
  • Lyles has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Cubs have scored 376 runs this season, which ranks 15th in MLB. They are batting .245 for the campaign with 87 home runs, 17th in the league.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 31-year-old’s 4.59 ERA ranks 58th, 1.398 WHIP ranks 57th, and 7.4 K/9 ranks 42nd.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have won 10, or 40%, of the 25 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Chicago has entered 12 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 4-8 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 86 games with a total.
  • The Cubs are 43-43-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have been victorious in 36, or 46.2%, of the 78 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Baltimore has a win-loss record of 29-35 when favored by +110 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 88 opportunities.
  • In 88 games with a line this season, the Orioles have a mark of 57-31-0 against the spread.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ has 23 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 41 walks while hitting .276.
  • Happ ranks 114th in home runs and 61st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Willson Contreras is batting .266 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks.
  • Contreras is 45th in home runs in baseball, and 93rd in RBI.
  • Patrick Wisdom paces the Cubs in home runs (17) and runs batted in (45).
  • Nico Hoerner has a club-high .306 batting average.
  • Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ian Happ 84 .276 .370 .448 8 40 82
Willson Contreras 73 .266 .384 .483 13 35 71
Patrick Wisdom 82 .228 .319 .459 17 45 67
Nico Hoerner 71 .306 .341 .429 5 26 77
Rafael Ortega 74 .259 .352 .388 4 22 52

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins is hitting .258 with 23 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 25 walks.
  • In all of the majors, Mullins ranks 140th in home runs and 85th in RBI.
  • Austin Hays has driven in the most runs for the Orioles with 45 runs batted in.
  • Hays is 65th in homers and 38th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Anthony Santander has 15 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Ryan Mountcastle is batting .273 with 20 doubles, 14 home runs and 16 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Cedric Mullins 85 .258 .316 .393 7 36 88
Austin Hays 79 .258 .315 .438 11 45 79
Anthony Santander 80 .241 .329 .425 15 43 71
Ryan Mountcastle 74 .273 .311 .488 14 44 79
Trey Mancini 78 .284 .357 .421 8 35 85

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