Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/25/2022

by | Jul 24, 2022

The Chicago Cubs (38-57) and Yan Gomes (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-144) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-56) on Monday at 8:05 PM ET. Adrian Sampson will get the ball for Chicago while Pittsburgh counter with JT Brubaker.

Cubs vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Cubs vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cubs -144 +123

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +123 after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+123)

Cubs vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
  • Game Day: Monday, July 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:05 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Sampson Brubaker
5 GS 18
0-1 W-L 2-8
3.62 ERA 4.02
32.1 IP 94.0
8 BB 40
23 SO 97

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

  • The Cubs will send Sampson (0-1) out for his sixth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 3.62 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 32 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday, July 17, the righty went 5 1/3 innings against the New York Mets, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In seven games this season, the 30-year-old has a 3.62 ERA and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .244 to opposing hitters.
  • Sampson is yet to register a quality start so far this year.
  • Sampson will try to extend a six-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.2 frames per appearance).
  • He will take the mound against a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 694 total hits (on a .220 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .366 (28th in MLB) with 99 total home runs (15th in MLB).

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

  • Brubaker (2-8) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 19th start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Wednesday, July 13 in his last outing, a matchup with the Miami Marlins.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 4.02, a 2.425 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.415.
  • He has earned a quality start five times in 18 starts this season.
  • Brubaker has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Cubs rank 12th in MLB with a .245 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 13th in the league (.397) and 96 home runs.
  • The right-hander has allowed the Cubs to go 14-for-57 with four doubles, a home run and five RBI in 14 2/3 innings this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have been favorites in 27 games this season and won 10 (37%) of those contests.
  • Chicago has a record of 3-5 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 95 games with a total this season.
  • The Cubs have an ATS record of 49-46-0 in 95 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 80 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (38.8%) in those games.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 23 times in 64 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 97 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Pirates have posted a record of 50-47-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ has 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks while hitting .279.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Happ’s home run total places him 111th, and his RBI tally ranks him 66th.
  • Happ has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three RBI.
  • Willson Contreras is hitting .258 with 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Contreras ranks 48th in home runs and 107th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Contreras has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with a .300 batting average.
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit 17 home runs with 47 RBI. Both are team-highs.
Ian Happ 93 .279 .366 .441 9 44 93
Willson Contreras 80 .258 .372 .471 14 37 76
Nico Hoerner 80 .300 .338 .425 6 30 86
Patrick Wisdom 91 .219 .315 .438 17 47 71
Christopher Morel 58 .283 .354 .496 9 29 64

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .248 with 16 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 35 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .322.
  • Hayes’ home run total places him 250th in the big leagues, and he ranks 176th in RBI.
  • Michael Chavis has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 32 runs batted in.
  • Chavis is 96th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 156th in RBI.
  • Ben Gamel is batting .244 with 11 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 26 walks.
  • Diego Castillo has 10 doubles, 10 home runs and 11 walks while batting .204.
Ke’Bryan Hayes 88 .248 .322 .349 4 28 83
Michael Chavis 83 .236 .276 .409 10 32 60
Ben Gamel 62 .244 .335 .373 4 23 47
Diego Castillo 82 .204 .243 .374 10 25 48
Josh VanMeter 52 .188 .260 .304 3 11 26

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