Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/26/2022

by | Jul 26, 2022

The Chicago Cubs (39-57) will vie for their sixth straight victory when they host the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-57) on Tuesday at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs are listed as -183 favorites by bookmakers, while the Pirates are +155 underdogs. Chicago’s Keegan Thompson and Pittsburgh’s Bryse Wilson have been named the starters for this contest.

Cubs vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Cubs vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Cubs -183 +155

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Pirates

Our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +155 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+155)

Cubs vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson
  • Game Day: Tuesday, July 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Thompson Wilson
12 GS 9
7-4 W-L 1-5
3.54 ERA 6.52
81.1 IP 49.2
29 BB 16
75 SO 38

Cubs Starter Keegan Thompson

  • Thompson (7-4 with a 3.54 ERA and 75 strikeouts in 81 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Cubs, his 13th of the season.
  • His most recent time out came on Friday, July 15 against the New York Mets, when the righty went 4 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • In 20 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed a 3.54 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .245 to his opponents.
  • Thompson has two quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Thompson has seven starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • He will face off against a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 702 total hits (on a .221 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .366 (28th in MLB) with 99 total home runs (15th in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Pirates this season, Thompson has pitched 15 innings, giving up one earned run on 10 hits while striking out 16.

Pirates Starter Bryse Wilson

  • Wilson (1-5) will take to the mound for the Pirates and make his 10th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 3 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday, July 17 in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 6.52, a 2.375 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.651.
  • He has earned a quality start two times in nine starts this season.
  • In nine starts this season, Wilson has lasted five or more innings four times, with an average of 4.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Cubs are batting .246 this season, 12th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .398 (13th in the league) with 97 home runs.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Cubs in two games, and they have gone 11-for-34 with a double, a home run and six RBI over 8 1/3 innings.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have won 11, or 39.3%, of the 28 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Chicago has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -183 odds on them winning this game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 64.7%.
  • Games involving Chicago have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 45 of 96 chances this season.
  • In 96 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 49-47-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have been victorious in 31, or 38.3%, of the 81 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 12 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +155 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 39.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 98 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Pirates have an against the spread record of 51-47-0 in 98 games with a line this season.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ is batting .282 with 24 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Happ is 38th in batting average, 22nd in on-base percentage, and 57th in slugging.
  • Happ carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .391 with a double and three RBI.
  • Willson Contreras has 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks while batting .258.
  • Contreras ranks 49th in homers and 111th in RBI on the season.
  • Contreras heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner paces the Cubs with a .303 batting average.
  • Patrick Wisdom has put his power on display as he paces his team with 17 home runs and 47 RBI.
Ian Happ 94 .282 .367 .445 9 44 95
Willson Contreras 81 .258 .374 .473 14 37 77
Nico Hoerner 81 .303 .343 .431 6 32 88
Patrick Wisdom 92 .220 .317 .440 17 47 72
Christopher Morel 59 .281 .354 .491 9 29 64

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (15), runs batted in (32) and has a team-high batting average of .257.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds’ home run total is 40th and his RBI tally is 157th.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .251 with 16 doubles, three triples, four home runs and 35 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Hayes is 251st in home runs and 179th in RBI.
  • Michael Chavis leads the Pirates with 32 runs batted in.
  • Ben Gamel is hitting .245 with 12 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 27 walks.
Bryan Reynolds 84 .257 .339 .459 15 32 79
Ke’Bryan Hayes 89 .251 .324 .351 4 28 85
Michael Chavis 84 .236 .275 .407 10 32 61
Ben Gamel 63 .245 .338 .378 4 23 48
Diego Castillo 82 .204 .243 .374 10 25 48

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