Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/30/2022

The Chicago Cubs (29-46) and the Cincinnati Reds (26-48) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Thursday at 8:05 PM ET. The Cubs are -125 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Reds (+106). Chicago’s Kyle Hendricks gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft.

Cubs vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +106. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+106) and Under (9.5)

Cubs vs. Reds Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
• Game Day: Thursday, June 30, 2022
• Game Time: 8:05 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Kyle Hendricks

• The Cubs will send Hendricks (3-6) to the mound for his 15th start of the season. He is 3-6 with a 4.90 ERA and 55 strikeouts through 75 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw 7 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 4.90, with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents have a .263 batting average against him.
• Hendricks is looking to pick up his fourth quality start of the season.
• Hendricks enters the game with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
• He will face off against a Reds offense that ranks 23rd in MLB with 591 total hits (on a .242 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .382 (19th in MLB) with 69 total home runs (21st in MLB).
• In four innings over one appearance against the Reds this season, Hendricks has a 9 ERA and a 1.5 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .294.
• This season, the 32-year-old ranks 60th in ERA (4.90), 47th in WHIP (1.301), and 56th in K/9 (6.6) among pitchers who qualify.

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

• Ashcraft (4-1) will take to the mound for the Reds and make his eighth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 8 2/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in seven games this season with an ERA of 3.27 and 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .235.
• He has four quality starts in seven chances this season.
• Ashcraft will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Cubs have scored 321 runs this season, which ranks 18th in MLB. They have 624 hits, 13th in baseball, with 73 home runs (18th in the league).

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Cubs have been favored 23 times and won nine, or 39.1%, of those games.
• Chicago has entered 17 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 7-10 in those contests.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 75 opportunities.
• The Cubs are 37-38-0 against the spread in their 75 chances this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been underdogs in 58 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (36.2%) in those contests.
• Cincinnati has a mark of 17-33 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 48.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 75 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Reds are 34-41-0 against the spread in their 75 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras paces the Cubs with a team-high batting average of .280.
• Among all batters in MLB, Contreras’ home run total ranks him 36th, and his RBI tally ranks him 76th.
• Contreras takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .474 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
• Ian Happ has totaled 37 runs batted in to lead his team.
• Happ is 91st in homers and 54th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Nico Hoerner is hitting .304 with seven doubles, three triples, four home runs and nine walks.
• Hoerner will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .457 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and seven RBI.
• Patrick Wisdom has hit 14 home runs with 37 runs batted in. Both lead his team.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury paces the Reds with 16 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 40.
• Drury’s home run total puts him 18th in the majors, and he is 37th in RBI.
• Drury has collected a hit in eight games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .318 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, a walk and six RBI.
• Tommy Pham has nine doubles, 10 home runs and 35 walks while hitting .245.
• Pham ranks 61st in homers and 117th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Kyle Farmer leads the Reds with a team-best batting average of .281.
• Joey Votto is hitting .214 with 15 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 30 walks.