Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/13/2022

Entering Saturday’s matchup with the Chicago Cubs (46-65), the Cincinnati Reds (44-67) are on a four-game losing streak. The contest starts at 6:40 PM ET with the Cubs listed as -120 favorites, while the are +100 underdogs who may be heading for a fifth straight defeat. Chicago’s Adrian Sampson gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft.

Cubs vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +100 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+100) and Under (9)

Cubs vs. Reds Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
• Game Day: Saturday, August 13, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

• Sampson (0-3) takes the mound for the Cubs in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 3.83 ERA in 49 1/3 innings pitched, with 36 strikeouts.
• His last time out came on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, when the right-hander tossed six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
• In 10 games this season, the 30-year-old has a 3.83 ERA and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .250 to opposing hitters.
• Sampson has two quality starts under his belt this season.
• Sampson heads into the game with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• He will face a Reds offense that is hitting .238 as a unit (20th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .375 (25th in MLB) with 104 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

• The Reds’ Ashcraft (5-2) will make his 15th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 3.94 ERA this season with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 14 games.
• He has seven quality starts in 14 chances this season.
• Ashcraft will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• The Cubs rank 21st in MLB with 458 runs scored this season. They have a .244 batting average this campaign with 108 home runs (19th in the league).
• The Cubs have gone 7-for-14 with a home run and seven RBI in 2 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have won 15, or 44.1%, of the 34 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Chicago has won 14 of its 29 games, or 48.3%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• Games involving Chicago have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 50 of 113 chances this season.
• The Cubs are 58-55-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been victorious in 34, or 39.1%, of the 87 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 32-49 when favored by +100 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 56 of their 113 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 113 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 53-60-0 against the spread.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras has been great at getting on base for the Cubs this season, leading the team with a .362 OBP and 88 hits.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Contreras ranks 44th in homers and 97th in RBI.
• Ian Happ has 30 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 44 walks while hitting .278.
• Happ is 146th in homers and 74th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Happ has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with three doubles and two RBI.
• Nico Hoerner paces the Cubs with a .299 batting average.
• Hoerner is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Patrick Wisdom’s 20 home runs and 52 runs batted in both pace his team.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer leads the Reds with 51 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .254.
• Farmer’s home run total places him 209th in the majors, and he ranks 63rd in RBI.
• Farmer brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a walk.
• Joey Votto has hit a team-best 11 home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Votto is 110th in homers and 120th in RBI.
• Nick Senzel has 10 doubles, three home runs and 18 walks while hitting .244.
• Albert Almora Jr. is hitting .230 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 11 walks.