Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

The Chicago Cubs (47-65) are -142 favorites for their Sunday matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (44-68). Keegan Thompson gets the ball for the Cubs and will look to earn his 10th win of the campaign. Thompson takes the mound for Chicago while Justin Dunn is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Cubs vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +120 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+120) and Over (9)

Cubs vs. Reds Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Justin Dunn
• Game Day: Sunday, August 14, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
• Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Keegan Thompson

• Thompson (9-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 86 strikeouts in 99 innings pitched) aims for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Cubs, his 16th of the season.
• His most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Washington Nationals, when the righty went six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.36, with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opponents are hitting .247 against him.
• Thompson is trying to pick up his fifth quality start of the season.
• Thompson heads into this game with nine outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
• He meets a Reds offense that ranks 20th in the league with 470 runs while batting .238 as a unit. It has a collective .374 slugging percentage (26th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 104 home runs (22nd in MLB).
• Thompson has a 5.68 ERA and a 1.263 WHIP against the Reds this season in 6 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .308 batting average over one appearance.

Reds Starter Justin Dunn

• The Reds’ Dunn will make his second start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the New York Mets, giving up three earned runs.
• He has pitched in one games this season with an ERA of 5.79, a 1 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.500.
• The Cubs have scored 465 runs this season, which ranks 21st in MLB. They are batting .244 for the campaign with 111 home runs, 18th in the league.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 34 times this season and won 15, or 44.1%, of those games.
• Chicago has a record of 8-8 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have a 58.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 114 games with a total.
• In 114 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 59-55-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 87 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (39.1%) in those games.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 25-41 when favored by +120 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 45.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 56 of their 114 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Reds have posted a record of 53-61-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Willson Contreras is stellar at getting on base when he’s at the plate. Contreras leads the Cubs this season with a .365 OBP and 90 base hits.
• Contreras’ home runs put him 40th in MLB, and he is 96th in RBI.
• Ian Happ has put up 52 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Happ ranks 132nd in homers and 63rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Happ heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with three doubles, a home run and six RBI.
• Nico Hoerner has racked up a team-best batting average of .297.
• Patrick Wisdom has put his power on display as he leads his team with 20 home runs and 52 RBI.
• Wisdom is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a walk.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer paces the Reds with 53 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .257.
• In all of the majors, Farmer is 209th in home runs and 59th in RBI.
• Farmer brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with two RBI.
• Joey Votto has collected a team-best 11 home runs.
• Votto is 111th in homers and 124th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Nick Senzel has 11 doubles, three home runs and 19 walks while batting .244.
• Albert Almora Jr. has nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 11 walks while batting .230.