Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/6/2022

Willson Contreras is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Chicago Cubs (56-78) as they get set to take on the Cincinnati Reds (53-79) on Tuesday. The Cubs enter the matchup as -175 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Wrigley Field at 7:40 PM ET. Chicago’s Wade Miley gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Justin Dunn.

Cubs vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +150 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+150)

Cubs vs. Reds Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Wade Miley
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Justin Dunn
• Game Day: Tuesday, September 6, 2022
• Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Wade Miley

• Miley will take the mound to start for the Cubs, his first this season.
• The 35-year-old lefty makes his season debut and his first appearance in more than a year.
• The Reds have MLB’s 18th-ranked scoring offense (565 total runs) and have put up a .241 batting average as a team while hitting 130 home runs (18th in the league) this season.

Reds Starter Justin Dunn

• Dunn (1-2) will take the mound for the Reds, his sixth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run in four innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.63 and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .256 in five games this season.
• He has earned a quality start one time in five starts this season.
• In five starts, Dunn has pitched through or past the fifth inning two times. He has a season average of 4.2 frames per outing.
• The Cubs rank 19th in MLB with a .240 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 17th in the league (.388) and 134 home runs.
• The Cubs have gone 7-for-16 with four doubles, three home runs and five RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Cubs have won 17 out of the 39 games, or 43.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, Chicago has won two of its four games when favored by at least -175 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 63.6% chance to win.
• So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of their 136 games with a total.
• The Cubs are 69-67-0 ATS in their 136 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been victorious in 41, or 40.2%, of the 102 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 15-35 when favored by +150 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 67 of 134 chances this season.
• The Reds are 63-71-0 against the spread in their 134 games that had a posted line this season.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ has put up a team-best 63 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Happ ranks 81st in home runs and 49th in RBI.
• Contreras is hitting .246 with 22 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 42 walks.
• Contreras is 38th in home runs and 82nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Contreras enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .188 with a double, a home run and two RBI.
• Nico Hoerner has accumulated a team-high batting average of .281.
• Seiya Suzuki is batting .260 with 21 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 35 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Reds are lead in runs batted in by Kyle Farmer with a mark of 59, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .258.
• Farmer’s home run total places him 184th in the majors, and he is 67th in RBI.
• Jonathan India is batting .265 with 14 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 20 walks.
• India ranks 170th in home runs and 223rd in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Nick Senzel has 12 doubles, four home runs and 26 walks while batting .242.
• TJ Friedl has six doubles, four triples, five home runs and eight walks while batting .275.