Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/7/2022

The Chicago Cubs will look to pick up their 58th win of the season when they take on the Cincinnati Reds (53-80) Wednesday. The game begins at 7:40 PM ET, with the Cubs listed as -145 favorites on the moneyline. Chicago’s Javier Assad gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Mike Minor.

Cubs vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +124 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+124) and Over (8)

Cubs vs. Reds Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Javier Assad
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Mike Minor
• Game Day: Wednesday, September 7, 2022
• Game Time: 7:40 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Javier Assad

• Assad (0-0) makes the start for the Cubs, his third of the season.
• The righty last appeared in relief on Saturday, when he threw one inning against the St. Louis Cardinals, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
• Opposing hitters have a collective batting average of .250 against him this season. He has a .90 ERA and 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings over his three appearances.
• He meets a Reds offense that ranks 20th in the league with 568 runs while batting .241 as a unit. It has a collective .380 slugging percentage (23rd in MLB action) and has hit a total of 131 home runs (18th in MLB).

Reds Starter Mike Minor

• Minor (3-10) will take the mound for the Reds, his 17th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the St. Louis Cardinals.
• The 34-year-old has pitched to a 5.98 ERA this season with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 16 games.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• In 16 starts, Minor has pitched through or past the fifth inning 11 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
• The Cubs rank 23rd in MLB with 556 runs scored this season. They have a .241 batting average this campaign with 136 home runs (16th in the league).

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have won 18, or 45%, of the 40 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Chicago has won nine of its 16 games, or 56.2%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Chicago have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 61 of 137 chances this season.
• The Cubs are 70-67-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been underdogs in 103 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (39.8%) in those contests.
• This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 29 times in 77 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 68 of 135 chances this season.
• The Reds are 63-72-0 against the spread in their 135 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ has been the Cubs top run producer this season, leading the team with 64 RBI while hitting .277 with 16 home runs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Happ ranks 34th in batting average, 34th in on-base percentage, and 40th in slugging.
• Nico Hoerner has a club-best .283 batting average.
• Hoerner ranks 188th in homers in the majors, and 125th in RBI.
• Seiya Suzuki is hitting .261 with 21 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 37 walks.
• Christopher Morel is hitting .248 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 29 walks.
• Morel is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Reds are lead in runs batted in by Kyle Farmer with a mark of 62, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .260.
• Farmer is 172nd in homers and 61st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jonathan India is batting .262 with 14 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 21 walks.
• India ranks 172nd overall in homers and 223rd in RBI this year.
• Nick Senzel is batting .242 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 26 walks.
• Albert Almora Jr. is batting .223 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.