Cubs vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/8/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (54-80) and Aristides Aquino (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+123) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Chicago Cubs (57-79) on Thursday at 2:20 PM ET. Chicago’s Adrian Sampson gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Luis Cessa.

Cubs vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Cubs vs. Reds

Our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +123 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+123)

Cubs vs. Reds Game Info

• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Adrian Sampson
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Luis Cessa
• Game Day: Thursday, September 8, 2022
• Game Time: 2:20 PM ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Wrigley Field

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cubs Starter Adrian Sampson

• The Cubs will send Sampson (1-5) to the mound to make his 14th start of the season. He is 1-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 54 strikeouts through 70 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last time out came on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up four hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 30-year-old has a 3.95 ERA and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .268 to his opponents.
• Sampson is trying to record his third quality start of the year in this matchup.
• Sampson has nine starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Reds offense has a collective .241 batting average, and is 21st in the league with 1078 total hits and 19th in MLB action with 575 runs scored. It has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.382) and ranks 18th in home runs (134) in all of MLB.
• Sampson has thrown four innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits while striking out six against the Reds this season.

Reds Starter Luis Cessa

• The Reds will hand the ball to Cessa (3-2) for his fifth start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
• The 30-year-old has pitched in 40 games this season with an ERA of 5.18 and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .276.
• Cessa has made one start of five or more innings in four chances this season, and averages 1.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Cubs have scored 557 runs this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB. They have 1108 hits, 17th in baseball, with 136 home runs (17th in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Cubs in four games, and they have gone 6-for-16 with two home runs and five RBI over 3 1/3 innings.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have won 18, or 43.9%, of the 41 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Chicago has a record of 9-8, a 52.9% win rate, when favored by -145 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 138 chances.
• The Cubs are 70-68-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have won in 42, or 40.4%, of the 104 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 30-48 when favored by +123 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.
• Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 68 of their 136 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 136 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 64-72-0 against the spread.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ has sent home a team-high 64 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Happ’s home run total ranks him 70th, and his RBI tally ranks him 49th.
• Nico Hoerner is hitting .283 to lead his team.
• Of all major league hitters, Hoerner ranks 189th in homers and 125th in RBI.
• Hoerner carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .167 with a triple and a walk.
• Seiya Suzuki is hitting .261 with 21 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 37 walks.
• Suzuki will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Christopher Morel is hitting .248 with 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 29 walks.
• Morel takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .214 with a double, two walks and two RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Farmer has posted a team-leading batting average of .260 and paces the Reds in runs batted in with a mark of 62.
• Farmer’s home run total places him 173rd in the majors, and he ranks 61st in RBI.
• Farmer carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a triple, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Jonathan India is batting .261 with 14 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 21 walks.
• India is 173rd in home runs and 222nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Nick Senzel is batting .242 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 26 walks.
• Jake Fraley has seven doubles, nine home runs and 19 walks while hitting .243.