Another exciting Monday Night Football is upon us. The New England Patriots take on the New York Jets in the AFC East showdown at MetLife Stadium in New York to close down Week 7 of the 2019 season. The Pats are 9-point favorites at the moment with a total of 43.5 points.
It’s the second meeting of the season between these two foes. The Pats thrashed off the Jets 30-14 as 21-point favorites at Gillette Stadium in Week 3. The clash went in the over mostly thanks to the Jets’ defense that scored twice. The Pats limited the Jets to ridiculous 105 total yards.
However, the Jets missed their starting QB Sam Darnold who returned last week to lead the Jets to their first victory in 2019. Darnold tossed for 338 yards, two touchdowns, and a pick in a 24-22 win to the Dallas Cowboys.
In their three games without Darnold, the Jets were dreadful offensively. They scored only three field goals in that span. That’s why the Jets’ stats are so poor through the first six weeks. They score 12.6 points per game (31st in the NFL) on 220.0 total yards (32nd). The Jets’ were in the red zone six times.
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On the other side, the Patriots are the most efficient team in the league with 31.7 points per game. Tom Brady has tossed for 1743 yards, ten touchdowns, and three interceptions. The Pats ran for nine touchdowns (tied-2nd) while leading the NFL with 26 visits to the red zone.
Likewise, the Patriots’ defense allows only 8.0 points per game (1st) on 234.7 total yards (also 1st). They recorded 25 sacks (2nd) while allowing their rivals to convert only 13.7% of 3rd downs (1st).
Obviously, the Jets’ offense will have a mountain to climb even with Sam Darnold under center. Still, their defense could keep them close, as the Pats’ offensive unit is struggling with injuries. The reigning champs will be without WR Josh Gordon, while WR Julian Edelman is questionable due to an injury.
RB Rex Burkhead and TE Matt LaCosse and Ryan Izzo are also sidelined. Tom Brady will have limited options, and it’s a chance for the Jets’ defense to step up. Their run defense is 14th in the NFL, surrendering 95.8 yards per outings, while the Jets’ pass defense is 24th with 262.2 yards per contest.
Still, the Jets are allowing 24.6 points per game (20th). Although the Pats will be shorthanded, the hosts will need to put on a strong defensive performance.
This could be a nice opportunity for some of the Patriots’ players, too. Rookie WR Jakobi Meyers caught all his four targets for 54 yards against the Giants last week. RB Sony Michel posted 100-plus yards from scrimmage in his last two outings along with a TD.
Likewise, keep your eyes on James White who already has 31 receptions out of the backfield for 224 yards and 16 first downs. White has scored only a TD thus far, but he’s one of Tom Brady’s favorite targets. James is set at +120 to score anytime, while Michel is a runaway fave to score at -175 odds.
Jamison Crowder and Robby Anderson are leading the way for the Jets’ receiving corps, combining for 528 yards and a TD. Le’Veon Bell has 85 carries for 256 yards and a TD, while he also added 28 receptions for 169 yards and a TD.
The Jets should do a much better job offensively than they did in Week 3. Still, it’s hard to expect them to score a bunch of points against this New England’s defense. The price on any special team or defensive touchdown scored is tempting at +200.
Patriots at Jets – Betting Trends
The Patriots won seven straight encounters with the Jets, while they are 3-1 ATS in the previous four meetings. On the other hand, the Pats covered only once in their last six visits to New York. The under is 6-1 in the previous seven head-to-head duels, and it is 4-1 in the last five at MetLife Stadium.
Also, the under has hit in New England’s last nine outings on the road. The Pats are 4-1 SU and ATS in their previous five road contests when listed as favorites of nine or more points. The Jets are only 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight showings at home.
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