Daily Best Betting Tips for Thursday, September 26, 2019

by | Sep 26, 2019

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Daily Best Betting Tips
Via https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2018/10/21/its-time-wonder-if-eagles-simply-arent-very-good-this-season/

Thursday Night Football will see the Green Bay Packers for the second time in four weeks. This time, the Packers host the Philadelphia Eagles who lost three straight games. Green bay will look for its fourth win in a row, while Davante Adams will search for his first touchdown of the season.

Adams has recorded 15 receptions for 198 yards. The two-time Pro Bowl is Aaron Rodgers’ favorite target, but he failed to score over the first three weeks of the 2019 NFL season. In the last three years, Adams tallied 35 touchdowns including a career-high 13 in the 2018 regular season.

Considering all these numbers, it’s hard to expect that Adams’ drought will last for long. In his two appearances against the Eagles, Davante scored three touchdowns, and the Packers won on both occasions.

Interestingly, those three touchdowns came on just eight targets and seven receptions. Adams is averaging five receptions on seven targets per game this season. The price on him to score tonight is -138 which seems fair. If you want to take a risk, Adams is set at +400 to score two or more.

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The Eagles have allowed eight touchdowns so far, and seven of those eight came threw the air. Likewise, the Eagles are 29th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (293.7) and 20th in yards surrendered by pass completion (12.0).

While Davante will try to finally finish in the end zone, we will see a great battle between two talented quarterbacks. Carson Wentz will lead the Eagles, while Aaron Rodgers will be under center for the Packers.

The line on Wentz’s passing yards has been set at 263.5 and he’s averaging 267.6 per game. The Packers are allowing just 197.3 passing yards per game (5th in the league). Wentz lost his lone start against the Packers in a career, tossing for 254 yards and an interception.  

The Eagles lean on Wentz a lot, and the one-time Pro Bowl has already thrown for six touchdowns and a couple of interceptions. The Packers have four picks after the first three games, allowing just one receiving touchdown.

On the other side, the line on Aaron Rodgers’ passing yards has been set at 279.5. We have already mentioned the Eagles’ awful pass defense, while Rodgers is averaging 215.7 passing yards per game.

The two-time All-Pro is 3-1 against the Eagles in his career. Rodgers has tossed for 856 yards, seven touchdowns, and two interceptions in that span. Also, he’s been sacked just four times. This season, Rodgers has four touchdown passes and he hasn’t been picked off yet.

The Eagles have recorded three interceptions thus far and 22 passes defended which are fourth-most in the NFL. I expect Rodgers to throw a lot and try to take advantage of Philadelphia’s poor passing defense. On the other hand, it is an opportunity to see his first pick of the season, and the price is quite tempting at +125.

Considering the numbers and teams’ displays early on the season, we shouldn’t expect to see a lot of big rushing plays tonight. The Eagles are averaging 99.7 rushing yards per game (17th in the NFL). The Packers are even worse with 89.3 rushing yards per contest (24th in the league).

However, the Eagles are 13th in the league with 82 carries, while the Packers are right behind with 78 totes over the first three weeks. The Eagles’ run defense is the 2nd-best in the NFL with 57.0 yards allowed per game.

On the other side, Green Bay is surrendering 131.0 rushing yards per game (25th in the NFL). Hereof, taking the Eagles’ rookie Miles Sanders to run for 43 or more yards at -120 odds could be a nice choice.

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