Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (44-66) will lean on Michael Chavis, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-59) on Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET. The Pirates are +143 underdogs for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Arizona’s Madison Bumgarner and Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller have been named the starters for this contest.

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +143 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+143) and Over (8)

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Game Info

• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Mitch Keller
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 10, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Diamondbacks Starter Madison Bumgarner

• Bumgarner (6-10 with a 3.96 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 116 innings pitched) makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his 23rd of the season.
• His last appearance came on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, when the lefty threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.96, with 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 22 games this season. Opponents are hitting .269 against him.
• Bumgarner has five quality starts this season.
• Bumgarner will try to extend an eight-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing).
• He will match up with a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 793 total hits (on a .220 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .363 (28th in MLB) with 110 total home runs (17th in MLB).
• This season, the 33-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (3.96), 57th in WHIP (1.388), and 55th in K/9 (6.2) among qualifying pitchers.

Pirates Starter Mitch Keller

• The Pirates’ Keller (3-8) will make his 20th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed eight hits in six innings against the Baltimore Orioles.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 4.21 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .274.
• He’s going for his sixth quality start in a row.
• Keller has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Diamondbacks rank 19th in MLB with 464 runs scored this season. They have a .228 batting average this campaign with 123 home runs (13th in the league).

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have won 16 out of the 29 games, or 55.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Arizona has a record of 2-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -168 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.7% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 53 of their 114 chances.
• In 114 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 65-49-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have come away with 35 wins in the 94 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious 20 times in 53 chances when named as an underdog of at least +143 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 41.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 111 opportunities.
• The Pirates are 58-53-0 against the spread in their 111 games that had a posted line this season.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (26) and runs batted in (62).
• Among all MLB hitters, Walker is 145th in batting average, 109th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
• Walker has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .261 to pace his team.
• Marte is 126th in homers and 115th in RBI on the season.
• Marte enters this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two doubles, a walk and five RBI.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .239 with 16 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 35 walks.
• Josh Rojas has 16 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 31 walks while batting .273.
• Rojas is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .220 with three doubles, two walks and three RBI.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 16 home runs and has racked up a team-high batting average of .257.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds ranks 43rd in homers and 162nd in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has 18 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 38 walks while hitting .248.
• Hayes is 204th in homers and 162nd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Chavis has racked up a team-best 37 runs batted in.
• Ben Gamel has 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 32 walks while batting .244.