Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/13/2022

Brandon Drury (11 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Cincinnati Reds (21-39) and Arizona Diamondbacks (29-33) meet Monday at 9:40 PM ET, live from Chase Field. Brandon Drury and the Reds are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by sportsbooks (+125). Arizona’s Merrill Kelly gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Mike Minor.

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+125) and Over (9.5)

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Game Info

• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Mike Minor
• Game Day: Monday, June 13, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Diamondbacks Starter Merrill Kelly

• Kelly makes the start for the Diamondbacks, his 13th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 54 strikeouts in 65 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went six scoreless innings while giving up only one hit.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.32, with 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 12 games this season. Opponents are batting .243 against him.
• Kelly is looking to record his sixth quality start of the year.
• Kelly will try to go five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
• He will face a Reds offense that ranks 24th in MLB with 466 total hits (on a .238 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .379 (22nd in MLB) with 57 total home runs (19th in MLB).
• In six innings over one appearance against the Reds this season, Kelly has a 0.00 ERA and a 0.667 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .056.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 33-year-old ranks 30th in ERA (3.32), 49th in WHIP (1.323), and 39th in K/9 (7.5).

Reds Starter Mike Minor

• Minor will get the start for the Reds, his third of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs.
• He has an ERA of 8.64, a batting average against of .265 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in two games this season.
• The Diamondbacks are batting .216 this season, 29th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .380 (20th in the league) with 72 home runs.
• The Diamondbacks have gone 3-for-16 with two home runs and three RBI in one game against the left-hander this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 10 games this season and won six (60%) of those contests.
• Arizona has a record of 3-2 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -145 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of their 67 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks are 39-28-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have won in 16, or 35.6%, of the 45 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 11 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 32 of 61 chances this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 28-33-0 in 61 games with a line this season.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Diamondbacks best power option comes in the form of Christian Walker and his 15-home-run 31-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Walker is 148th in batting average, 118th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
• Ketel Marte’s .267 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Marte is 170th in homers and 132nd in RBI in the bigs.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .248 with 12 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.
• Varsho will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and six RBI.
• David Peralta is batting .232 with 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 19 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Drury has collected a team-high 11 home runs.
• Drury’s home run total places him 29th in the majors, and he ranks 58th in RBI.
• Drury takes a hitting streak of 11 games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .395 with a double, three home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Tommy Pham is batting .247 with eight doubles, eight home runs and 30 walks.
• Pham is currently 54th in homers and 95th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Kyle Farmer has the top batting average on the Reds (.275) and paces in runs batted in (35).
• Joey Votto has 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 26 walks while hitting .208.

Betting Tips for Diamondbacks vs. Reds

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +125. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.