Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/15/2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks (29-35) will be out to avoid the sweep when they host the Cincinnati Reds (23-39) to complete a three-game series. Bookmakers have listed the Diamondbacks as -130 favorites for the series finale, while the Reds are +110 underdogs. Arizona’s Zac Gallen gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo.

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+110) and Over (7.5)

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Game Info

• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zac Gallen
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
• Game Day: Wednesday, June 15, 2022
• Game Time: 3:40 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Diamondbacks Starter Zac Gallen

• Gallen (4-2) takes the mound for the Diamondbacks in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.95 ERA in 58 innings pitched, with 55 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, the right-hander threw 1 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 26-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.95, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .212 against him.
• Gallen has five quality starts under his belt this year.
• Gallen will try to secure his 10th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance.
• He meets a Reds offense that ranks 14th in the league with 273 runs while batting .239 as a unit. It has a collective .380 slugging percentage (20th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 58 home runs (20th in MLB).

Reds Starter Luis Castillo

• Castillo (2-4) will take the mound for the Reds, his eighth start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
• The 29-year-old has pitched to a 3.23 ERA this season with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3 walks per nine across seven games.
• He’s going for his fourth quality start in a row.
• Castillo has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Diamondbacks are batting .216 this season, 29th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .376 (22nd in the league) with 73 home runs.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have won six, or 50%, of the 12 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Arizona has a record of 3-3 when favored by -130 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
• So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of their 69 games with a total.
• In 69 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 39-30-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 47 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (38.3%) in those games.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 14 times in 39 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 33 of 63 chances this season.
• The Reds have an against the spread mark of 30-33-0 in 63 games with a line this season.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker has gone yard 16 times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 33 runs, both totals that lead the Diamondbacks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Walker ranks 147th in batting average, 110th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
• Ketel Marte’s .268 batting average leads his team.
• Including all MLB batters, Marte is 169th in home runs and 136th in RBI.
• Marte heads into this matchup looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with two doubles, two walks and two RBI.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .246 with 12 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.
• Varsho will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• David Peralta is hitting .230 with 12 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 19 walks.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury paces the Reds with 12 long balls.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Drury ranks 23rd in home runs and 39th in RBI.
• Kyle Farmer has a club-best 37 runs batted in and .283 batting average.
• Among all major league batters, Farmer ranks 132nd in homers and 23rd in RBI.
• Tommy Pham is batting .250 with nine doubles, eight home runs and 31 walks.
• Joey Votto has 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks while batting .204.

Betting Tips for Diamondbacks vs. Reds

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +110. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.