Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/1/2022

The Colorado Rockies (33-43) enter Friday’s matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks (34-42) following their 2-1 series victory over the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks, coming off of a series split against the Padres, are listed as -120 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at Coors Field, starting at 8:10 PM ET. Merrill Kelly will get the ball for Arizona while Colorado counter with Antonio Senzatela.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Rockies

Our best bet is the Rockies on the moneyline at +100 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will under the total of 11.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Colorado Rockies (+100) and Under (11.5)

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Game Info

• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly
• Colorado Rockies probable starting pitcher: Antonio Senzatela
• Game Day: Friday, July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Denver, Colorado
• Stadium: Coors Field

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Pitching Matchup

Diamondbacks Starter Merrill Kelly

• Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his 16th of the season. He is 6-5 with a 3.64 ERA and 71 strikeouts through 84 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out came on Saturday against the Detroit Tigers, when the right-hander threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 33-year-old has a 3.64 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .248 to opposing batters.
• Kelly has six quality starts under his belt this year.
• Kelly will try to prolong an eight-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
• He will take the hill against a Rockies team that is hitting .262 as a unit (first in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .402 (11th in MLB) with 69 total home runs (21st in MLB).
• Kelly has a 1.04 ERA and a 1.038 WHIP against the Rockies this season in 8 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .226 batting average over one appearance.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 33-year-old’s 3.64 ERA ranks 39th, 1.298 WHIP ranks 46th, and 7.6 K/9 ranks 39th.

Rockies Starter Antonio Senzatela

• The Rockies’ Senzatela (3-4) will make his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Minnesota Twins.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 4.66 ERA this season with 5.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 12 games.
• He has started 12 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
• Senzatela has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Diamondbacks have scored 308 runs this season, which ranks 24th in MLB. They have 532 hits, 29th in baseball, with 86 home runs (12th in the league).

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 16 times and won eight, or 50%, of those games.
• Arizona has entered 13 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 6-7 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
• So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 81 games with a total.
• In 81 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-36-0 ATS.

Rockies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rockies have been victorious in 24, or 39.3%, of the 61 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Colorado has won 22 of 54 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 77 opportunities.
• The Rockies have posted a record of 39-38-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker has gone yard 19 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 39 runs, both totals that lead the Diamondbacks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Walker ranks 153rd in batting average, 114th in on-base percentage, and 42nd in slugging.
• Ketel Marte has a club-high .264 batting average.
• Marte ranks 207th in home runs and 172nd in RBI in the majors.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .231 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 19 walks.
• David Peralta has 15 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 22 walks while batting .244.

Rockies Leaders & Batting Stats

• C.J. Cron leads the Rockies with 17 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 56.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Cron’s home run total ranks 13th and his RBI tally is sixth.
• Cron has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, two walks and four RBI.
• Charlie Blackmon has 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 19 walks while hitting .267.
• Blackmon is 44th in home runs and 34th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Brendan Rodgers has 18 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 17 walks while hitting .266.
• Connor Joe is hitting .277 with 12 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 39 walks.