Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/26/2022

by | Jun 26, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Atlanta Braves 9 Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/26/2022

Tony Gonsolin will take the mound for the Los Angeles Dodgers (44-26) Sunday looking for his 10th win of the season in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves (42-31). The Dodgers are -117 favorites to pick up the win in the contest, which starts at 7:08 PM ET on ESPN, live from Truist Park. Gonsolin will get the ball for Los Angeles while Atlanta counter with Spencer Strider.

Dodgers vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Braves Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -117 -102 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +140 -168

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Braves

Our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at -102 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (-102) and Over (8.5)

Dodgers vs. Braves Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin
  • Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
  • Game Day: Sunday, June 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Stadium: Truist Park

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Gonsolin Strider
13 GS 5
9-0 W-L 3-2
1.58 ERA 3.78
68.1 IP 47.2
21 BB 22
64 SO 72

Dodgers Starter Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin (9-0 with a 1.58 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 68 1/3 innings pitched) tries for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Dodgers, his 14th of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he went 5 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • The 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.58, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents are hitting .150 against him.
  • Gonsolin has seven quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Gonsolin will try to last five or more innings for his 10th straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Braves offense has the best slugging percentage (.441) and ranks second in MLB play with 110 home runs. It has a collective .247 batting average, and is eighth in MLB with 611 total hits and sixth in MLB action scoring 346 runs.
  • Head-to-head against the Braves this season, Gonsolin has pitched six innings without giving up an earned run on one hit, while striking out three.

Braves Starter Spencer Strider

  • Strider (3-2) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up six earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • The 23-year-old has an ERA of 3.78 and 13.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .182 in 16 games this season.
  • Strider has not earned a quality start in five starts this season.
  • In five starts, Strider has pitched through or past the fifth inning two times. He has a season average of 2.3 frames per outing.
  • The Dodgers rank third in MLB with 359 runs scored this season. They have a .253 batting average this campaign with 86 home runs (10th in the league).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 46, or 63%, of the 73 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 46-27 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -117 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 32 of their 75 chances.
  • The Dodgers are 42-33-0 ATS in their 75 games with a spread this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Braves have come away with seven wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Atlanta has come away with a win two times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 37 of their 72 opportunities.
  • The Braves have an against the spread mark of 35-37-0 in 72 games with a line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freddie Freeman is hitting .303 with 23 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 36 walks.
  • Freeman’s home runs rank him 84th in the majors, and he ranks 18th in RBI.
  • Freeman has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is batting .395 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs, seven walks and 11 RBI.
  • Trea Turner has 53 RBI while hitting .320. Both are team-highs.
  • Turner is 56th in home runs and sixth in RBI in the bigs.
  • Turner enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .545 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Will Smith is hitting .260 with nine doubles, 11 home runs and 28 walks.
  • Smith will look to build on his seven-game hitting in this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .302 with two doubles, four home runs, two walks and nine RBI.
  • Justin Turner has 20 doubles, four home runs and 25 walks while hitting .222.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 70 .303 .387 .489 8 45 83
Trea Turner 70 .320 .369 .504 10 53 89
Will Smith 58 .260 .347 .462 11 35 54
Justin Turner 66 .222 .292 .354 4 37 54
Gavin Lux 63 .279 .352 .378 2 17 56

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Dansby Swanson has posted a team-leading batting average of .304 and leads the Braves in runs batted in with a mark of 43.
  • Swanson is 31st in home runs and 25th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Swanson brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .400 with two doubles, four home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • Matt Olson is batting .249 with 29 doubles, 10 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Olson is currently 56th in homers and 31st in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Austin Riley leads the Braves with 18 long balls.
  • Marcell Ozuna is batting .227 with nine doubles, 14 home runs and 19 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Dansby Swanson 73 .304 .368 .507 13 43 82
Matt Olson 73 .249 .348 .462 10 40 69
Austin Riley 71 .252 .321 .507 18 42 70
Marcell Ozuna 69 .227 .280 .416 14 31 61
Travis d’Arnaud 48 .266 .310 .495 10 34 50

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