Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/17/2022

by | Aug 17, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/17/2022

The Los Angeles Dodgers (80-35) are -176 favorites for their Wednesday matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (62-53). Tony Gonsolin gets the ball for the Dodgers, seeking win No. 15 on the season. Los Angeles’ Gonsolin gets the start, and he’ll go against Milwaukee’s Eric Lauer.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Brewers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -176 +149 8.5 -105 -115 -1.5 -105 -116

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Brewers

We have the Brewers on the moneyline at +149 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+149) and Over (8.5)

Dodgers vs. Brewers Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin
  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Eric Lauer
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Gonsolin Lauer
21 GS 21
14-1 W-L 8-4
2.24 ERA 3.64
116.1 IP 118.2
32 BB 42
105 SO 116

Dodgers Starter Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin (14-1) gets the starting nod for the Dodgers in his 22nd start of the season. He has a 2.24 ERA in 116 1/3 innings pitched, with 105 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, when the right-hander went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
  • In 21 games this season, the 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.24, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .173 against him.
  • Gonsolin is trying to record his 11th quality start of the season.
  • Gonsolin is looking for his 18th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
  • He will match up with a Brewers squad that is batting .237 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .412 (ninth in MLB) with 157 total home runs (fourth in MLB).
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 28-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (2.24), third in WHIP (.885), and 34th in K/9 (8.1).

Brewers Starter Eric Lauer

  • The Brewers will hand the ball to Lauer (8-4) for his 22nd start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 3.64, a 2.762 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.213.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
  • Lauer has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Dodgers have scored 618 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They have 1019 hits, fifth in baseball, with 155 home runs (fifth in the league).
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 27-year-old ranks 36th in ERA (3.64), 42nd in WHIP (1.213), and 22nd in K/9 (8.8).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 83 out of the 118 games, or 70.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 55-25 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -176 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 63.8% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 121 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 75-46-0 against the spread this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have won in 11, or 44%, of the 25 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Oddsmakers have given Milwaukee the worst odds of winning they have seen this season with a +149 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 40.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Milwaukee and their opponents have hit the over in 58 of their 115 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Brewers have an against the spread record of 46-69-0 in 115 games with a line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freddie Freeman paces the Dodgers with a team-best batting average of .318.
  • In all of the majors, Freeman is 49th in homers and 12th in RBI.
  • Freeman carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
  • Trea Turner’s 83 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Turner is 38th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Turner enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with two RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has put up a team-high 27 home runs.
  • Will Smith is batting .271 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 115 .318 .396 .521 16 73 142
Trea Turner 115 .306 .344 .494 18 83 144
Mookie Betts 98 .273 .341 .536 27 61 111
Will Smith 99 .271 .358 .474 17 65 98
Gavin Lux 106 .293 .371 .432 6 37 99

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez leads the Brewers with 24 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 72.
  • Tellez is 18th in homers and 16th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Tellez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .267 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Christian Yelich’s .250 batting average paces his team.
  • Yelich is 153rd overall in home runs and 165th in RBI this season.
  • Andrew McCutchen has accumulated a team-high batting average of .250.
  • Willy Adames has 17 doubles, 23 home runs and 33 walks while batting .223.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 110 .240 .326 .485 24 72 91
Christian Yelich 110 .250 .356 .379 9 36 103
Andrew McCutchen 99 .250 .320 .389 11 50 97
Willy Adames 93 .223 .285 .453 23 66 83
Kolten Wong 92 .248 .328 .410 8 31 76

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