Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/23/2022

by | Aug 23, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Brewers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/23/2022

Expect a pitchers’ duel Tuesday when Tony Gonsolin (2.12 ERA, third in MLB) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (84-37) take on Corbin Burnes (2.48, seventh in MLB) and the Milwaukee Brewers (65-56). Gonsolin and the Dodgers are -147 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup, which starts at 10:10 PM ET. Los Angeles sends Gonsolin (15-1) to the hill for his 23rd start this season, and Burnes (9-5) makes his 25th start this year for Milwaukee.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Brewers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -147 +125 7 -116 -104 -1.5 +148 -176

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Brewers

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Brewers on the moneyline at +125. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+125) and Under (7)

Dodgers vs. Brewers Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin
  • Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
  • Game Day: Tuesday, August 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Gonsolin Burnes
22 GS 24
15-1 W-L 9-5
2.12 ERA 2.48
123.1 IP 148.2
33 BB 40
113 SO 187

Dodgers Starter Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin (15-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 113 strikeouts in 123 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Dodgers, his 23rd of the season.
  • His most recent time out was on Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the righty went seven scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • The 28-year-old has a 2.12 ERA and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 22 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .169 to opposing hitters.
  • Gonsolin is aiming for his third quality start in a row.
  • Gonsolin will try to pitch five or more innings for his 19th straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • He will take the hill against a Brewers squad that is batting .234 as a unit (22nd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .411 (ninth in MLB) with 169 total home runs (third in MLB).
  • Gonsolin has pitched seven innings without giving up an earned run on two hits, while striking out eight against the Brewers this season.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 28-year-old’s 2.12 ERA ranks third, .859 WHIP ranks first, and 8.2 K/9 ranks 30th.

Brewers Starter Corbin Burnes

  • Burnes (9-5) will take the mound for the Brewers, his 25th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 2.48 and 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .185.
  • In 24 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 17 of them.
  • Burnes will look to pitch five or more innings for the 13th start in a row.
  • The Dodgers are batting .260 this season, third in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .450 (first in the league) with 161 home runs.
  • The right-hander has faced the Dodgers one time this season, allowing them to go 6-for-22 with a double, a triple and three RBI in 5 2/3 innings.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this year, the 27-year-old ranks seventh in ERA (2.48), fourth in WHIP (.935), and third in K/9 (11.3).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 87 out of the 123 games, or 70.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Los Angeles has entered 107 games this season favored by -147 or more and is 76-31 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of their 127 games with a total this season.
  • The Dodgers are 77-50-0 against the spread in their 127 chances this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Brewers have been underdogs in 27 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (44.4%) in those contests.
  • This season, Milwaukee has been victorious four times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Milwaukee and their opponents have hit the over in 61 of their 121 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Brewers are 50-71-0 against the spread in their 121 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Dodgers best hitter thus far this season is Freddie Freeman, who’s hitting at a team-leading .317 rate along with 16 homers and 74 RBI.
  • Freeman’s home runs place him 56th in the majors, and he ranks 16th in RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has hit 27 home runs to lead his team.
  • Betts ranks 10th in home runs and 34th in RBI in the majors.
  • Trea Turner has put up a team-best 83 runs batted in.
  • Turner has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double and three walks.
  • Will Smith is batting .274 with 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Smith brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, a home run, two walks and eight RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 121 .317 .393 .513 16 74 149
Mookie Betts 103 .275 .343 .533 27 62 117
Trea Turner 121 .305 .346 .486 18 83 150
Will Smith 104 .274 .359 .476 18 73 104
Gavin Lux 110 .297 .372 .439 6 39 105

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rowdy Tellez paces the Brewers in home runs (26) and runs batted in (74).
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Tellez’s home run total ranks 12th and his RBI tally is 16th.
  • Christian Yelich’s .254 batting average leads his team.
  • Yelich is 158th in homers and 152nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Andrew McCutchen has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .248.
  • Willy Adames has 18 doubles, 24 home runs and 36 walks while batting .223.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rowdy Tellez 115 .235 .324 .486 26 74 93
Christian Yelich 116 .254 .358 .379 9 39 110
Andrew McCutchen 104 .248 .316 .402 14 56 101
Willy Adames 99 .223 .287 .451 24 70 88
Hunter Renfroe 87 .241 .304 .494 22 50 78

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