Dodgers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

by | Jul 10, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

Freddie Freeman is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Los Angeles Dodgers (55-29) as they get set to take on the Chicago Cubs (34-51) on Sunday. The Dodgers enter the matchup as -256 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Dodger Stadium at 4:10 PM ET. Julio Urias gets the starting nod for Los Angeles while Drew Smyly is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Dodgers vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -256 +209 7.5 -121 +101 -1.5 -125 +104

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Cubs

We have the Cubs on the moneyline at +209 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+209) and Over (7.5)

Dodgers vs. Cubs Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Julio Urías
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Drew Smyly
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Urías Smyly
16 GS 0
7-6 W-L 0-0
2.57 ERA
87.2 IP 0
21 BB 0
83 SO 0

Dodgers Starter Julio Urías

  • Urias (7-6) takes the mound for the Dodgers in his 17th start of the season. He has a 2.57 ERA in 87 2/3 innings pitched, with 83 strikeouts.
  • His last time out came on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, when the lefty tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • In 16 games this season, the 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.57, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .214 against him.
  • Urías heads into this outing with eight quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Urías will try to go five or more innings for his 16th straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Cubs offense has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.395) and ranks 19th in MLB play with 84 home runs. It has a collective .245 batting average, and is 12th in MLB with 709 total hits and 15th in MLB action scoring 367 runs.
  • This season, the 25-year-old ranks 11th in ERA (2.57), 16th in WHIP (1.027), and 27th in K/9 (8.5) among qualifying pitchers.

Cubs Starter Drew Smyly

  • Smyly gets the nod for the Cubs and will make his first start of the season.
  • This will be the first start of the season for the 33-year-old left-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
  • The Dodgers have scored 418 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They are batting .252 for the campaign with 108 home runs, ninth in the league.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have been favored 88 times and won 58, or 65.9%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has entered 16 games this season favored by -256 or more and is 11-5 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 71.9% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of their 90 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 51-39-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have won in 24, or 40%, of the 60 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Chicago has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +209 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 32.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of their 85 opportunities.
  • The Cubs are 43-42-0 against the spread in their 85 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freeman is hitting .296 with 26 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 41 walks.
  • In all of MLB, Freeman ranks 81st in home runs and 19th in RBI.
  • Freeman has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has hit 20 home runs to lead his team.
  • Betts is 11th in home runs and 30th in RBI on the year.
  • Trea Turner leads the Dodgers in runs batted in (60) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .300.
  • Will Smith is hitting .258 with 10 doubles, 13 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Smith has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with four walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 84 .296 .376 .477 10 52 98
Mookie Betts 67 .279 .353 .555 20 46 76
Trea Turner 84 .300 .350 .475 11 60 101
Will Smith 71 .258 .351 .452 13 40 65
Justin Turner 78 .246 .312 .401 8 45 70

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ paces the Cubs with a .277 batting average.
  • In all of the majors, Happ is 111th in home runs and 60th in RBI.
  • Willson Contreras is batting .270 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 35 walks.
  • Contreras ranks 44th in homers and 92nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Patrick Wisdom leads the Cubs in home runs (17) and runs batted in (45).
  • Nico Hoerner is batting .300 with nine doubles, three triples, five home runs and 11 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ian Happ 83 .277 .372 .449 8 40 81
Willson Contreras 72 .270 .387 .490 13 35 71
Patrick Wisdom 81 .231 .321 .466 17 45 67
Nico Hoerner 70 .300 .336 .421 5 25 74
Christopher Morel 49 .272 .339 .492 9 25 53

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