Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/28/2022

Trea Turner (19 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Los Angeles Dodgers (31-14) and Arizona Diamondbacks (23-24) meet Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, live from Chase Field. Turner and the Dodgers are favored by oddsmakers with -182 odds on the moneyline. Los Angeles’ Tony Gonsolin and Arizona’s Merrill Kelly have been named the starters for this contest.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+156) and Over (9)

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly
• Game Day: Saturday, May 28, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Dodgers Starter Tony Gonsolin

• Gonsolin (4-0) takes the mound for the Dodgers in his ninth start of the season. He has a 1.62 ERA in 39 innings pitched, with 37 strikeouts.
• The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he went six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up three hits.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 1.62, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opponents have a .164 batting average against him.
• Gonsolin is trying to build on a second-game quality start streak in this game.
• Gonsolin will try to pitch five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 4.3 innings per outing.
• He will match up with a Diamondbacks squad that is batting .216 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .379 (20th in MLB) with 57 total home runs (fifth in MLB).
• Gonsolin has thrown 10 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out 12 against the Diamondbacks this season.

Diamondbacks Starter Merrill Kelly

• The Diamondbacks will send Kelly (3-2) to the mound for his 10th start this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Chicago Cubs.
• The 33-year-old has pitched to a 3.49 ERA this season with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across nine games.
• In nine starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in four of them.
• In nine starts, Kelly has pitched through or past the fifth inning seven times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
• The Dodgers rank first in MLB with 256 runs scored this season. They have a .254 batting average this campaign with 53 home runs (seventh in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Dodgers in two games, and they have gone 12-for-34 with six doubles, a home run and 11 RBI over eight innings.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 33-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.49), 47th in WHIP (1.306), and 32nd in K/9 (7.7).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 49 times this season and won 33, or 67.3%, of those games.
• Los Angeles has a record of 23-11, a 67.6% win rate, when favored by -182 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 64.5%.
• Games involving Los Angeles have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 24 of 50 chances this season.
• The Dodgers are 30-20-0 ATS in their 50 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (45.5%) in those games.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious six times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 39.1% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 24 of 52 chances this season.
• In 52 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 31-21-0 against the spread.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Mookie Betts has launched a team-high 13 home runs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Betts is 23rd in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage, and eighth in slugging.
• Betts brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with two doubles, three home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Freddie Freeman’s .310 batting average paces his team.
• Freeman is 104th in homers and 18th in RBI on the year.
• Freeman carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .381 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
• Turner has a team-high 38 runs batted in.
• Turner has at least one base hit in 19 games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .385 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, four walks and 14 RBI.
• Justin Turner is hitting .204 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 13 walks.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 12 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 22.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Walker’s home run total ranks third and his RBI tally ranks 56th.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .266 to lead the lineup.
• Among all MLB batters, Varsho is 32nd in home runs and 72nd in RBI.
• David Peralta is hitting .226 with seven doubles, eight home runs and 18 walks.
• Ketel Marte is batting .250 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 14 walks.

Betting Tips for Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

We have the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +156 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.