Dodgers vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/17/2022

by | Jun 17, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Guardians Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/17/2022

Expect a display of power when Mookie Betts (17 HR) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (39-23) take on Jose Ramirez (16 HR) and the Cleveland Guardians (32-27) at Dodger Stadium at 10:10 PM ET. Betts and the Dodgers are -264 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup. Los Angeles’ Clayton Kershaw gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Zach Plesac.

Dodgers vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -264 +217 8 -110 -110 -1.5 -126 +105

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Guardians

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+217) and Over (8)

Dodgers vs. Guardians Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
  • Game Day: Friday, June 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Kershaw Plesac
6 GS 11
4-1 W-L 2-4
2.12 ERA 4.70
34.0 IP 61.1
5 BB 13
36 SO 43

Dodgers Starter Clayton Kershaw

  • Kershaw (4-1) gets the starting nod for the Dodgers in his seventh start of the season. He has a 2.12 ERA in 34 innings pitched, with 36 strikeouts.
  • The lefty last pitched on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, when he went 4 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • The 34-year-old has a 2.12 ERA and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings across six games this season, while allowing a batting average of .182 to opposing hitters.
  • Kershaw is trying to collect his fourth quality start of the season.
  • Kershaw will try to secure his sixth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • He meets a Guardians offense that ranks 16th in the league with 275 runs while batting .251 as a unit. It has a collective .391 slugging percentage (16th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 47 home runs (27th in MLB).

Guardians Starter Zach Plesac

  • The Guardians will hand the ball to Plesac (2-4) for his 12th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 4.70 and 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .269.
  • He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
  • Plesac will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • The Dodgers have scored 315 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They are batting .246 for the campaign with 74 home runs, ninth in the league.
  • The 27-year-old ranks 55th in ERA (4.70), 47th in WHIP (1.288), and 54th in K/9 (6.3) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 41 out of the 66 games, or 62.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 4-4 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -264 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 72.5% chance to win.
  • Games involving Los Angeles have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 28 of 67 chances this season.
  • In 67 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 37-30-0 ATS.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (43.8%) in those contests.
  • Cleveland has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +217.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 31.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 31 of their 64 opportunities.
  • The Guardians have an against the spread record of 34-30-0 in 64 games with a line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Betts has a team-best 17 home runs.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Betts ranks 43rd in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and 13th in slugging.
  • Trea Turner has a club-leading 48 RBI and .298 batting average.
  • Turner is 59th in home runs and fifth in RBI in the bigs.
  • Turner carries a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .282 with three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
  • Freddie Freeman has 21 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 32 walks while batting .286.
  • Will Smith has seven doubles, eight home runs and 27 walks while hitting .244.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Mookie Betts 60 .273 .349 .535 17 40 67
Trea Turner 62 .298 .352 .471 8 48 72
Freddie Freeman 62 .286 .372 .444 5 34 69
Will Smith 50 .244 .348 .424 8 29 42
Justin Turner 58 .211 .282 .343 4 32 45

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (16), runs batted in (62) and has posted a team-best batting average of .311.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ramirez’s home run total is eighth and his RBI tally is first.
  • Ramirez carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .375 with eight doubles, two home runs, four walks and nine RBI.
  • Owen Miller is hitting .268 with 17 doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Miller ranks 176th in home runs and 60th in RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez has nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and nine walks while hitting .304.
  • Amed Rosario is hitting .272 with eight doubles, four triples, a home run and 10 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 59 .311 .403 .653 16 62 69
Owen Miller 53 .268 .321 .421 4 31 51
Andrés Giménez 50 .304 .347 .516 7 32 49
Amed Rosario 53 .272 .303 .359 1 16 59
Josh Naylor 41 .275 .335 .490 7 34 41

Betting Tips for Dodgers vs. Guardians

We have the Guardians on the moneyline at +217 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

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