Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/20/2022

by | Aug 20, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/20/2022

Will Smith is on the brink of his 100th hit of the season for the Los Angeles Dodgers (82-36) as they get set to take on the Miami Marlins (52-67) on Saturday. The Dodgers enter the matchup as -284 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Dodger Stadium at 9:10 PM ET. Dustin May starts for Los Angeles while Braxton Garrett is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -284 +229 7.5 +105 -125 -1.5 -127 +106

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Marlins

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +229. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+229) and Over (7.5)

Dodgers vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Dustin May
  • Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
  • Game Day: Saturday, August 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

May Garrett
0 GS 13
0-0 W-L 2-6
ERA 3.67
0 IP 68.2
0 BB 17
0 SO 71

Dodgers Starter Dustin May

  • May starts for the first time this season for the Dodgers.
  • It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 24-year-old right-hander.
  • The Marlins rank 27th in run scoring in the league (441) this season and are batting .234 while hitting 107 home runs (22nd in the league).

Marlins Starter Braxton Garrett

  • The Marlins will send Garrett (2-6) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings without allowing a run on five hits in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 3.67 and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .249.
  • He has earned a quality start four times in 13 starts this season.
  • In 13 starts this season, Garrett has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • The Dodgers rank fourth in MLB with a .258 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks first in the league (.448) and 157 home runs.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have been favored 120 times and won 85, or 70.8%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has entered nine games this season favored by -284 or more and is 5-4 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 74%.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of their 124 games with a total this season.
  • The Dodgers are 75-49-0 against the spread in their 124 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 69 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (33.3%) in those games.
  • Miami has played as an underdog of +229 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 30.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 119 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Marlins are 54-65-0 against the spread in their 119 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freddie Freeman’s .314 average leads the Dodgers this year. His resume also includes 16 homers and driven in 73 RBI.
  • Freeman’s home runs place him 54th in the majors, and he is 16th in RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has shown his power as he paces his team with 27 home runs.
  • Betts is 10th in home runs and 34th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Trea Turner has put up a team-high 83 runs batted in.
  • Smith is batting .269 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 45 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 118 .314 .393 .513 16 73 144
Mookie Betts 100 .276 .346 .542 27 61 114
Trea Turner 118 .304 .344 .490 18 83 146
Will Smith 101 .269 .356 .467 17 67 99
Gavin Lux 108 .296 .372 .438 6 39 102

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jesus Aguilar has a team-leading 15 home runs and has driven in 48 runs.
  • Aguilar’s home run total puts him 66th in the big leagues, and he ranks 90th in RBI.
  • Miguel Rojas is batting .235 with 14 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 23 walks.
  • Rojas is currently 214th in homers and 212th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Jon Berti has 13 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 27 walks while hitting .266.
  • Joey Wendle is hitting .261 with 15 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jesús Aguilar 109 .237 .287 .394 15 48 95
Miguel Rojas 105 .235 .286 .335 6 29 85
Jon Berti 65 .266 .351 .372 2 20 58
Joey Wendle 70 .261 .301 .357 2 24 62
Nick Fortes 44 .248 .326 .446 6 17 30

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