Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/21/2022

The Miami Marlins (52-68) will try to end their three-game losing streak when they visit the Los Angeles Dodgers (83-36) on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET. Oddsmakers consider the Dodgers to be -178 favorites for the contest, while the Marlins are +149 underdogs looking for the upset. Los Angeles’ Ryan Pepiot gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Sandy Alcantara.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +149 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will under the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+149) and Under (7.5)

Dodgers vs. Marlins Game Info

• Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
• Game Day: Sunday, August 21, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Dodgers Starter Ryan Pepiot

• Pepiot gets the start for the Dodgers, his seventh of the season. He is 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 25 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the righty threw 4 2/3 innings against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 4.26, with 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in six games this season. Opponents are hitting .198 against him.
• Pepiot has not registered a quality start yet this season.
• Pepiot is looking to record his second start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• He will match up with a Marlins offense that ranks 25th in MLB with 931 total hits (on a .233 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .368 (27th in MLB) with 107 total home runs (23rd in MLB).

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

• The Marlins will send Alcantara (11-5) to the mound for his 25th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 7 2/3 scoreless innings against the San Diego Padres while allowing four hits.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a 1.92 ERA this season with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.2 walks per nine across 24 games.
• He has 18 quality starts in 24 chances this season.
• Alcantara will look to pitch five or more innings for the 19th start in a row.
• The Dodgers rank third in MLB with a .259 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks first in the league (.449) and 159 home runs.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign, the 26-year-old ranks first in ERA (1.92), fifth in WHIP (.942), and 39th in K/9 (7.9).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 121 times this season and won 86, or 71.1%, of those games.
• Los Angeles has entered 82 games this season favored by -178 or more and is 57-25 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 64% chance to win.
• Games involving Los Angeles have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 52 of 125 chances this season.
• In 125 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 76-49-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 70 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (32.9%) in those contests.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win one times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +149 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 40.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami’s games have gone over the total in 51 of their 120 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 54-66-0 against the spread in their 120 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Dodgers best hitter so far this season is Freddie Freeman, who’s hitting at a team-leading .317 rate along with 16 homers and 74 RBI.
• Freeman’s home runs put him 54th in MLB, and he is 16th in RBI.
• Mookie Betts has hit 27 home runs to lead his team.
• Betts is 10th in homers and 35th in RBI on the season.
• Betts enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double, a triple, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Trea Turner paces the Dodgers with 83 runs batted in.
• Will Smith is hitting .270 with 20 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 46 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar paces the Marlins with 15 home runs and 48 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .235.
• In all of the big leagues, Aguilar is 67th in home runs and 92nd in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is batting .234 with 14 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 23 walks.
• Rojas is 215th in homers and 214th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Jon Berti has 13 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 27 walks while batting .270.
• Joey Wendle is hitting .260 with 15 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.