Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/26/2022

by | Aug 26, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/26/2022

Jesus Aguilar is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the Miami Marlins (54-70) as they get set to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (86-37) on Friday. The Marlins enter the matchup as +215 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from loanDepot park at 6:40 PM ET. Los Angeles will send Tyler Anderson out to start this one, while Miami has yet to name a starter.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Marlins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -264 +215 7.5 -107 -114 -1.5 -143 +115

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at +215 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+215) and Over (7.5)

Dodgers vs. Marlins Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
  • Game Day: Friday, August 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Stadium: loanDepot park

Dodgers Starter Tyler Anderson

  • Anderson makes the start for the Dodgers, his 22nd of the season. He is 13-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 135 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 2.73, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opponents are hitting .222 against him.
  • Anderson is looking to secure his 14th quality start of the season.
  • Anderson has pitched five or more innings in a game 19 times this year entering this matchup.
  • The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .231 batting average, and is 24th in the league with 957 total hits and 27th in MLB play with 454 runs scored. It has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.367) and ranks 22nd in home runs (112) in all of MLB.
  • Anderson has a 1.29 ERA and a 1.143 WHIP against the Marlins this season in seven innings pitched, allowing a .200 batting average over one appearance.
  • The 32-year-old’s 2.73 ERA ranks 13th, 1.020 WHIP ranks 14th, and 7.1 K/9 ranks 47th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 125 times this season and won 89, or 71.2%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 16-7 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -264 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 72.5%.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 55 of their 129 chances.
  • The Dodgers are 79-50-0 ATS in their 129 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Marlins have won in 23, or 32.4%, of the 71 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Miami has a mark of 1-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +215 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 31.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 53 of their 124 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Marlins are 56-68-0 against the spread in their 124 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freddie Freeman paces the Dodgers with a .322 batting average.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Freeman’s home run total places him 60th, and his RBI tally puts him 12th.
  • Freeman takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .476 with two doubles and six RBI.
  • Trea Turner’s 85 runs batted in pace his team.
  • Turner ranks 43rd in homers and sixth in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Turner has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .474 with two doubles, five walks and two RBI.
  • Mookie Betts paces the Dodgers with 27 home runs.
  • Will Smith is batting .270 with 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 46 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 123 .322 .396 .516 16 79 154
Trea Turner 123 .311 .354 .493 18 85 155
Mookie Betts 105 .273 .344 .529 27 62 118
Will Smith 105 .270 .355 .470 18 73 104
Gavin Lux 110 .297 .372 .439 6 39 105

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Miguel Rojas is hitting .231 with 15 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 23 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .281.
  • In all of MLB, Rojas is 225th in home runs and 217th in RBI.
  • Rojas has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .105 with a double and an RBI.
  • Aguilar proven to be a run producer as he leads his team with 15 home runs and 49 RBI, with a team-best .236 batting average.
  • Aguilar is currently 73rd in homers and 92nd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Jon Berti is batting .263 with 14 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 31 walks.
  • Joey Wendle is batting .247 with 15 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jesús Aguilar 113 .236 .286 .388 15 49 98
Miguel Rojas 109 .231 .281 .330 6 30 87
Jon Berti 69 .263 .353 .366 2 20 61
Joey Wendle 75 .247 .291 .337 2 24 63
Nick Fortes 47 .242 .315 .447 7 18 32

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