Dodgers vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/29/2022

The Los Angeles Dodgers (88-38), led by the red-hot Mookie Betts and his three-game homer streak, are -247 favorites to pick up a win over the Miami Marlins (55-72) Monday at 6:40 PM ET, live from loanDepot park. Tony Gonsolin takes the mound for Los Angeles while Pablo Lopez is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Dodgers vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Marlins

After analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +203. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+203) and Over (7)

Dodgers vs. Marlins Game Info

• Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Game Day: Monday, August 29, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Dodgers Starter Tony Gonsolin

• Gonsolin gets the start for the Dodgers, his 24th of the season. He is 16-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 128 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, the righty tossed five innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
• The 28-year-old has a 2.10 ERA and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings across 23 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .169 to his opponents.
• Gonsolin is trying to secure his 12th quality start of the season in this game.
• Gonsolin is seeking his 20th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.365) and is 23rd in MLB play with 114 home runs. It has a collective .230 batting average, and is 24th in MLB with 973 total hits and 27th in MLB play scoring 463 runs.
• The 28-year-old’s 2.10 ERA ranks second, .865 WHIP ranks third, and 8.1 K/9 ranks 32nd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• Lopez (8-8) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 26th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on four hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 25 games this season with an ERA of 3.66, a 3.238 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.164.
• He has earned a quality start nine times in 25 starts this season.
• Lopez has 20 starts of five or more innings this season in 25 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
• The Dodgers rank first in MLB with a .263 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks first in the league (.453) and 168 home runs.
• The 26-year-old ranks 38th in ERA (3.66), 32nd in WHIP (1.164), and 22nd in K/9 (8.7) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Dodgers have won 91 out of the 128 games, or 71.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Los Angeles is 22-8 this season when entering a game favored by -247 or more on the moneyline.
• The Dodgers have a 71.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 132 games with a total.
• The Dodgers are 81-51-0 against the spread in their 132 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won in 24, or 32.4%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 1-5 when favored by +203 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 33% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 55 of their 127 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 57-70-0 against the spread in their 127 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Freddie Freeman leads the Dodgers with a .322 batting average.
• Freeman ranks 60th in homers and 13th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Freeman carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .417 with two doubles and six RBI.
• Betts has shown off his power as he leads his team with 31 home runs.
• Betts is fourth in home runs and 29th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Betts has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .409 with three doubles, four home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• Trea Turner paces the Dodgers with 86 runs batted in.
• Will Smith is hitting .270 with 22 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 48 walks.
• Smith brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .232.
• In all of the big leagues, Rojas ranks 226th in home runs and 215th in RBI.
• Jon Berti is hitting .259 with 14 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 33 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Berti ranks 339th in home runs and 292nd in RBI.
• Garrett Cooper is hitting .260 with 24 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 32 walks.
• Joey Wendle has 17 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 12 walks while batting .254.