Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/1/2022

by | Sep 1, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Mets Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/1/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Thursday when the Los Angeles Dodgers (90-39) and New York Mets (83-48) take to the field at 4:10 PM ET. Freddie Freeman is batting .321 for the Dodgers (-144 favorites on the moneyline) while Jeff McNeil leads the underdog Mets (+122) with a .318 average. Clayton Kershaw gets the starting nod for Los Angeles while Chris Bassitt is New York’s starter for the contest.

Dodgers vs. Mets Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Mets Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -144 +122 7.5 -105 -116 -1.5 +110 -132

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Mets

Our best bet is the Mets on the moneyline at +122 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: New York Mets (+122) and Over (7.5)

Dodgers vs. Mets Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
  • New York Mets probable starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt
  • Game Day: Thursday, September 1, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Queens, New York
  • Stadium: Citi Field

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Pitching Matchup

Kershaw Bassitt
0 GS 24
0-0 W-L 11-7
ERA 3.34
0 IP 148.1
0 BB 37
0 SO 139

Dodgers Starter Clayton Kershaw

  • Kershaw will take the mound to start for the Dodgers, his first of the season.
  • It’s the first appearance this season for the 34-year-old southpaw, and his first outing in more than a year.
  • The Mets have put up 612 runs this season (sixth in MLB) and are batting .257 collectively with 132 home runs (17th in the league).

Mets Starter Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt (11-7) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 25th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in 7 1/3 innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Friday.
  • The 33-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 3.34, a 3.757 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.133.
  • He has started 24 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 15 of them.
  • Bassitt has pitched five or more innings in 12 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Dodgers have scored 691 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .261 for the campaign with 170 home runs, fifth in the league.
  • The Dodgers have gone 5-for-24 with two home runs and three RBI in six innings this season against the right-hander.
  • The 33-year-old ranks 26th in ERA (3.34), 27th in WHIP (1.133), and 26th in K/9 (8.4) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 93, or 71.5%, of the 130 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 82-32 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -144 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 135 games with a total this season.
  • The Dodgers are 82-53-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mets have won in 17, or 48.6%, of the 35 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win five times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of their 133 opportunities.
  • In 131 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 72-59-0 against the spread.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freeman paces the Dodgers with a .321 batting average.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Freeman is second in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging.
  • Freeman carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .370 with four doubles, a walk and seven RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has hit 32 home runs to pace his team.
  • Betts ranks fourth in homers and 29th in RBI in the bigs.
  • Betts carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .375 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • Trea Turner has accumulated a team-high 86 runs batted in.
  • Will Smith is hitting .266 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 129 .321 .393 .509 16 81 163
Mookie Betts 111 .281 .352 .565 32 70 128
Trea Turner 129 .307 .352 .480 18 86 161
Will Smith 110 .266 .352 .467 19 75 107
Justin Turner 104 .268 .339 .412 9 66 102

Mets Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Pete Alonso has managed a team-high 31 home runs and has driven in 105 runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Alonso is sixth in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .267 with 17 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 54 walks.
  • Among all major league batters, Lindor ranks 35th in home runs and ninth in RBI.
  • Starling Marte has 24 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 25 walks while batting .293.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .266 with 25 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs and 52 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Pete Alonso 130 .271 .347 .509 31 105 132
Francisco Lindor 130 .267 .345 .442 21 85 134
Starling Marte 113 .293 .346 .475 16 62 132
Brandon Nimmo 122 .266 .355 .416 12 44 126
Jeff McNeil 117 .318 .369 .455 7 50 133

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